Recent stalled US-Iran negotiations, following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum that extended a ceasefire and outlined a roadmap for a final deal, center on disputes over Strait of Hormuz shipping, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues. Indirect mediation through Oman and Pakistan continues amid conflicting statements, with Iran emphasizing Oman channels and the US highlighting technical talks in Switzerland and Doha. High-level participation has included US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian officials, alongside mediators; any new round by December 31 hinges on breaking the current deadlock through diplomatic de-escalation or third-party facilitation before the year-end window closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$165,674 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
Jared Kushner
60%
Abbas Araghchi
49%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
47%
Steve Witkoff
37%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
48%
J.D. Vance
41%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
32%
Ishaq Dar
34%
Masoud Pezeshkian
28%
Rafael Grossi
24%
Marco Rubio
35%
Kazem Gharibabadi
21%
Nick Stewart
20%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
17%
Donald Trump
12%
Esmail Qaani
7%
Pete Hegseth
6%
Ahmad Vahidi
5%
Mojtaba Khamenei
5%
$165,674 ปริมาณ
Jared Kushner
$8,084 ปริมาณ
60%
Abbas Araghchi
$6,712 ปริมาณ
49%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$11,231 ปริมาณ
47%
Steve Witkoff
$7,891 ปริมาณ
37%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$10,113 ปริมาณ
48%
J.D. Vance
$11,899 ปริมาณ
41%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$11,007 ปริมาณ
32%
Ishaq Dar
$7,098 ปริมาณ
34%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$9,524 ปริมาณ
28%
Rafael Grossi
$8,903 ปริมาณ
24%
Marco Rubio
$10,766 ปริมาณ
35%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$14,348 ปริมาณ
21%
Nick Stewart
$2,508 ปริมาณ
20%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$11,760 ปริมาณ
17%
Donald Trump
$81 ปริมาณ
12%
Esmail Qaani
$9,883 ปริมาณ
7%
Pete Hegseth
$2,478 ปริมาณ
6%
Ahmad Vahidi
$2,198 ปริมาณ
5%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$19,189 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent stalled US-Iran negotiations, following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum that extended a ceasefire and outlined a roadmap for a final deal, center on disputes over Strait of Hormuz shipping, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues. Indirect mediation through Oman and Pakistan continues amid conflicting statements, with Iran emphasizing Oman channels and the US highlighting technical talks in Switzerland and Doha. High-level participation has included US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian officials, alongside mediators; any new round by December 31 hinges on breaking the current deadlock through diplomatic de-escalation or third-party facilitation before the year-end window closes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$165,674วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent stalled US-Iran negotiations, following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum that extended a ceasefire and outlined a roadmap for a final deal, center on disputes over Strait of Hormuz shipping, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues. Indirect mediation through Oman and Pakistan continues amid conflicting statements, with Iran emphasizing Oman channels and the US highlighting technical talks in Switzerland and Doha. High-level participation has included US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian officials, alongside mediators; any new round by December 31 hinges on breaking the current deadlock through diplomatic de-escalation or third-party facilitation before the year-end window closes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$165,674วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent stalled US-Iran negotiations, following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum that extended a ceasefire and outlined a roadmap for a final deal, center on disputes over Strait of Hormuz shipping, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues. Indirect mediation through Oman and Pakistan continues amid conflicting statements, with Iran emphasizing Oman channels and the US highlighting technical talks in Switzerland and Doha. High-level participation has included US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian officials, alongside mediators; any new round by December 31 hinges on breaking the current deadlock through diplomatic de-escalation or third-party facilitation before the year-end window closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย