Recent US-Iran diplomacy centers on implementing the June 2026 memorandum of understanding, which outlined a 60-day window for final talks on sanctions relief, nuclear restraints, ballistic missiles, and freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. As of mid-August 2026, negotiations remain stalled in deadlock, with conflicting reports on direct versus mediated engagement—Washington claims progress through intermediaries while Tehran denies formal talks and cites US strikes and new conditions. Pakistan continues active mediation efforts alongside Oman channels, though no high-level rounds have occurred since late June technical sessions. Key variables include enforcement of the MOU's implementation mechanism, regional escalation risks, and any scheduled diplomatic meetings before year-end that could trigger market resolution on attendance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$47,279 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
Steve Witkoff
71%
Jared Kushner
69%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
68%
Abbas Araghchi
68%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
52%
Rafael Grossi
49%
J.D. Vance
44%
Masoud Pezeshkian
42%
Nick Stewart
25%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
27%
Kazem Gharibabadi
22%
Ishaq Dar
33%
Ahmad Vahidi
22%
Marco Rubio
20%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
16%
Donald Trump
12%
Esmail Qaani
11%
Pete Hegseth
6%
Mojtaba Khamenei
5%
$47,279 ปริมาณ
Steve Witkoff
$974 ปริมาณ
71%
Jared Kushner
$930 ปริมาณ
69%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$949 ปริมาณ
68%
Abbas Araghchi
$1,107 ปริมาณ
68%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$1,580 ปริมาณ
52%
Rafael Grossi
$773 ปริมาณ
49%
J.D. Vance
$2,193 ปริมาณ
44%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$549 ปริมาณ
42%
Nick Stewart
$687 ปริมาณ
25%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$4,296 ปริมาณ
27%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$4,430 ปริมาณ
22%
Ishaq Dar
$1,444 ปริมาณ
33%
Ahmad Vahidi
$25 ปริมาณ
22%
Marco Rubio
$2,302 ปริมาณ
20%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,597 ปริมาณ
16%
Donald Trump
$59 ปริมาณ
12%
Esmail Qaani
$1,795 ปริมาณ
11%
Pete Hegseth
$2,478 ปริมาณ
6%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$19,111 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent US-Iran diplomacy centers on implementing the June 2026 memorandum of understanding, which outlined a 60-day window for final talks on sanctions relief, nuclear restraints, ballistic missiles, and freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. As of mid-August 2026, negotiations remain stalled in deadlock, with conflicting reports on direct versus mediated engagement—Washington claims progress through intermediaries while Tehran denies formal talks and cites US strikes and new conditions. Pakistan continues active mediation efforts alongside Oman channels, though no high-level rounds have occurred since late June technical sessions. Key variables include enforcement of the MOU's implementation mechanism, regional escalation risks, and any scheduled diplomatic meetings before year-end that could trigger market resolution on attendance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$47,279วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent US-Iran diplomacy centers on implementing the June 2026 memorandum of understanding, which outlined a 60-day window for final talks on sanctions relief, nuclear restraints, ballistic missiles, and freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. As of mid-August 2026, negotiations remain stalled in deadlock, with conflicting reports on direct versus mediated engagement—Washington claims progress through intermediaries while Tehran denies formal talks and cites US strikes and new conditions. Pakistan continues active mediation efforts alongside Oman channels, though no high-level rounds have occurred since late June technical sessions. Key variables include enforcement of the MOU's implementation mechanism, regional escalation risks, and any scheduled diplomatic meetings before year-end that could trigger market resolution on attendance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$47,279วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-Iran diplomacy centers on implementing the June 2026 memorandum of understanding, which outlined a 60-day window for final talks on sanctions relief, nuclear restraints, ballistic missiles, and freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. As of mid-August 2026, negotiations remain stalled in deadlock, with conflicting reports on direct versus mediated engagement—Washington claims progress through intermediaries while Tehran denies formal talks and cites US strikes and new conditions. Pakistan continues active mediation efforts alongside Oman channels, though no high-level rounds have occurred since late June technical sessions. Key variables include enforcement of the MOU's implementation mechanism, regional escalation risks, and any scheduled diplomatic meetings before year-end that could trigger market resolution on attendance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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