Abelardo de la Espriella holds a commanding 97.7% implied probability in trader consensus for securing the most votes in Antioquia during the June 21 runoff. This positioning stems from his 54.4% share in the department during the May 31 first round, far ahead of Iván Cepeda's 25.3%, reflecting the region's longstanding conservative preferences and alignment with de la Espriella's emphasis on security and anti-establishment messaging as a self-made businessman. Antioquia's entrepreneurial culture and historical right-leaning electorate have amplified support for his candidacy following the collapse of other conservative options. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unexpectedly high turnout among left-leaning voters or late shifts in national momentum, though structural department-level patterns make such reversals unlikely absent major unforeseen developments.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateBAGO
BAGO
Jun 22, 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella
98%
Iván Cepeda Castro
2%
BAGO
BAGO
Jun 22, 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella
$938 Vol.
98%
Iván Cepeda Castro
$1,145 Vol.
2%
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Department of Antioquia in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Abelardo de la Espriella holds a commanding 97.7% implied probability in trader consensus for securing the most votes in Antioquia during the June 21 runoff. This positioning stems from his 54.4% share in the department during the May 31 first round, far ahead of Iván Cepeda's 25.3%, reflecting the region's longstanding conservative preferences and alignment with de la Espriella's emphasis on security and anti-establishment messaging as a self-made businessman. Antioquia's entrepreneurial culture and historical right-leaning electorate have amplified support for his candidacy following the collapse of other conservative options. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unexpectedly high turnout among left-leaning voters or late shifts in national momentum, though structural department-level patterns make such reversals unlikely absent major unforeseen developments.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Department of Antioquia in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Department of Antioquia in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 5, 2026, 3:24 PM ET
Volume
$2,083Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 5, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Department of Antioquia in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Abelardo de la Espriella holds a commanding 97.7% implied probability in trader consensus for securing the most votes in Antioquia during the June 21 runoff. This positioning stems from his 54.4% share in the department during the May 31 first round, far ahead of Iván Cepeda's 25.3%, reflecting the region's longstanding conservative preferences and alignment with de la Espriella's emphasis on security and anti-establishment messaging as a self-made businessman. Antioquia's entrepreneurial culture and historical right-leaning electorate have amplified support for his candidacy following the collapse of other conservative options. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unexpectedly high turnout among left-leaning voters or late shifts in national momentum, though structural department-level patterns make such reversals unlikely absent major unforeseen developments.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Department of Antioquia in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Department of Antioquia in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$2,083Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 5, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Abelardo de la Espriella holds a commanding 97.7% implied probability in trader consensus for securing the most votes in Antioquia during the June 21 runoff. This positioning stems from his 54.4% share in the department during the May 31 first round, far ahead of Iván Cepeda's 25.3%, reflecting the region's longstanding conservative preferences and alignment with de la Espriella's emphasis on security and anti-establishment messaging as a self-made businessman. Antioquia's entrepreneurial culture and historical right-leaning electorate have amplified support for his candidacy following the collapse of other conservative options. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unexpectedly high turnout among left-leaning voters or late shifts in national momentum, though structural department-level patterns make such reversals unlikely absent major unforeseen developments.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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