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Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

icon for FL-19 Republican Primary Winner
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

FL-19 Republican Primary Winner

Catalina Lauf 83%

Jim Schwartzel 15.0%

Jim Oberweis 1.8%

Madison Cawthorn <1%

Polymarket

$79,158 Vol.

Catalina Lauf 83%

Jim Schwartzel 15.0%

Jim Oberweis 1.8%

Madison Cawthorn <1%

Polymarket

$79,158 Vol.

icon for Catalina Lauf

Catalina Lauf

$37,972 Vol.

83%

icon for Jim Schwartzel

Jim Schwartzel

$19,043 Vol.

15%

icon for Jim Oberweis

Jim Oberweis

$11,438 Vol.

2%

icon for Madison Cawthorn

Madison Cawthorn

$4,386 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bob Rommel

Bob Rommel

$3,912 Vol.

<1%

icon for Spencer Roach

Spencer Roach

$2,408 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trump's recent endorsement of Catalina Lauf, a former Commerce Department official and America First advocate, has consolidated Republican support in the crowded August 18 primary for Florida's open 19th district seat. Multiple congressional endorsers, including Greg Steube and Kat Cammack, along with backing from Jim Banks, Anna Paulina Luna, and a Rand Paul-aligned super PAC, have further elevated her position ahead of voting. Jim Schwartzel remains the clearest alternative with notable fundraising, yet trails significantly in the absence of comparable high-profile momentum. The remaining candidates, including Madison Cawthorn and Jim Oberweis, show minimal traction in this winner-take-all contest to replace Byron Donalds. Trader consensus aligns with these late-cycle developments favoring Lauf's path to the nomination.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$79,158
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trump's recent endorsement of Catalina Lauf, a former Commerce Department official and America First advocate, has consolidated Republican support in the crowded August 18 primary for Florida's open 19th district seat. Multiple congressional endorsers, including Greg Steube and Kat Cammack, along with backing from Jim Banks, Anna Paulina Luna, and a Rand Paul-aligned super PAC, have further elevated her position ahead of voting. Jim Schwartzel remains the clearest alternative with notable fundraising, yet trails significantly in the absence of comparable high-profile momentum. The remaining candidates, including Madison Cawthorn and Jim Oberweis, show minimal traction in this winner-take-all contest to replace Byron Donalds. Trader consensus aligns with these late-cycle developments favoring Lauf's path to the nomination.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$79,158
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "FL-19 Republican Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 6 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Catalina Lauf" sa 83%, sinusundan ng "Jim Schwartzel" sa 15%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 83¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 83% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "FL-19 Republican Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $79.2K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 25, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "FL-19 Republican Primary Winner," i-browse ang 6 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "FL-19 Republican Primary Winner" ay "Catalina Lauf" sa 83%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 83% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Jim Schwartzel" sa 15%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "FL-19 Republican Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.