Recent surface observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport, including a 39°C peak on May 15, combined with consensus from European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System models, have driven the 99.9% market-implied probability for a daily maximum of 37°C or higher in Jeddah on May 17. Persistent high pressure over the Arabian Peninsula, strong solar insolation, and dry continental airflow typical of mid-May reinforce this positioning, consistent with the region’s climatological shift toward peak summer heat where average highs reach the upper 30s Celsius. Scenarios that could realistically challenge the outcome include enhanced Red Sea humidity or increased cloud cover reducing afternoon insolation, potentially capping the peak at 36°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 17?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 17?
37°C or higher 99.9%
33°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$51,235 Vol.
$51,235 Vol.
May 17, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
Yes
37°C or higher 99.9%
33°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$51,235 Vol.
$51,235 Vol.
May 17, 2026
27°C or below
$4,702 Vol.
No
28°C
$7,184 Vol.
No
29°C
$13,207 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,349 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,184 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,247 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,336 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,681 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,570 Vol.
No
36°C
$4,125 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$4,952 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent surface observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport, including a 39°C peak on May 15, combined with consensus from European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System models, have driven the 99.9% market-implied probability for a daily maximum of 37°C or higher in Jeddah on May 17. Persistent high pressure over the Arabian Peninsula, strong solar insolation, and dry continental airflow typical of mid-May reinforce this positioning, consistent with the region’s climatological shift toward peak summer heat where average highs reach the upper 30s Celsius. Scenarios that could realistically challenge the outcome include enhanced Red Sea humidity or increased cloud cover reducing afternoon insolation, potentially capping the peak at 36°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$51,235Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent surface observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport, including a 39°C peak on May 15, combined with consensus from European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System models, have driven the 99.9% market-implied probability for a daily maximum of 37°C or higher in Jeddah on May 17. Persistent high pressure over the Arabian Peninsula, strong solar insolation, and dry continental airflow typical of mid-May reinforce this positioning, consistent with the region’s climatological shift toward peak summer heat where average highs reach the upper 30s Celsius. Scenarios that could realistically challenge the outcome include enhanced Red Sea humidity or increased cloud cover reducing afternoon insolation, potentially capping the peak at 36°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$51,235Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNRecent surface observations at King Abdulaziz International Airport, including a 39°C peak on May 15, combined with consensus from European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System models, have driven the 99.9% market-implied probability for a daily maximum of 37°C or higher in Jeddah on May 17. Persistent high pressure over the Arabian Peninsula, strong solar insolation, and dry continental airflow typical of mid-May reinforce this positioning, consistent with the region’s climatological shift toward peak summer heat where average highs reach the upper 30s Celsius. Scenarios that could realistically challenge the outcome include enhanced Red Sea humidity or increased cloud cover reducing afternoon insolation, potentially capping the peak at 36°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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