Forecast models from NOAA and regional agencies indicate Mexico City highs on August 5, 2026, centered near 25–26°C amid the rainy season, when afternoon convection and cloud cover typically cap temperatures below seasonal peaks. Mexico City’s high elevation moderates extremes, while recent model runs show light showers and variable insolation that favor 26°C as the most probable daily maximum, aligning with the 48.5% market-implied probability. Stronger heating under partial clearing could push readings to 27°C (34.0%), a threshold consistent with yesterday’s observed 27°C peak and climatological August averages of 24–26°C. Updated forecasts later today and early-evening observations will determine whether the distribution shifts toward or away from these central outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 5?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 5?
26°C 49%
27°C 36%
28°C 9%
25°C 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 5, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
49%
27°C
36%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 49%
27°C 36%
28°C 9%
25°C 7%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 5, 2026
23°C or below
$164 Vol.
1%
24°C
$765 Vol.
3%
25°C
$608 Vol.
7%
26°C
$1,388 Vol.
49%
27°C
$464 Vol.
36%
28°C
$364 Vol.
9%
29°C
$256 Vol.
1%
30°C
$360 Vol.
1%
31°C
$416 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$587 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$597 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and regional agencies indicate Mexico City highs on August 5, 2026, centered near 25–26°C amid the rainy season, when afternoon convection and cloud cover typically cap temperatures below seasonal peaks. Mexico City’s high elevation moderates extremes, while recent model runs show light showers and variable insolation that favor 26°C as the most probable daily maximum, aligning with the 48.5% market-implied probability. Stronger heating under partial clearing could push readings to 27°C (34.0%), a threshold consistent with yesterday’s observed 27°C peak and climatological August averages of 24–26°C. Updated forecasts later today and early-evening observations will determine whether the distribution shifts toward or away from these central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 3, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$5,968Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 3, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and regional agencies indicate Mexico City highs on August 5, 2026, centered near 25–26°C amid the rainy season, when afternoon convection and cloud cover typically cap temperatures below seasonal peaks. Mexico City’s high elevation moderates extremes, while recent model runs show light showers and variable insolation that favor 26°C as the most probable daily maximum, aligning with the 48.5% market-implied probability. Stronger heating under partial clearing could push readings to 27°C (34.0%), a threshold consistent with yesterday’s observed 27°C peak and climatological August averages of 24–26°C. Updated forecasts later today and early-evening observations will determine whether the distribution shifts toward or away from these central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,968Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 3, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from NOAA and regional agencies indicate Mexico City highs on August 5, 2026, centered near 25–26°C amid the rainy season, when afternoon convection and cloud cover typically cap temperatures below seasonal peaks. Mexico City’s high elevation moderates extremes, while recent model runs show light showers and variable insolation that favor 26°C as the most probable daily maximum, aligning with the 48.5% market-implied probability. Stronger heating under partial clearing could push readings to 27°C (34.0%), a threshold consistent with yesterday’s observed 27°C peak and climatological August averages of 24–26°C. Updated forecasts later today and early-evening observations will determine whether the distribution shifts toward or away from these central outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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