Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 50.5% probability for a 25°C high in Tel Aviv today, with 37% on 26°C, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service forecast of 23°C and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS projecting peaks around 25°C amid strengthening Mediterranean sea breezes and low-level cloud cover limiting insolation. A sharp cooling trend follows recent inland heat peaking near 34°C on May 12 under a high-pressure ridge, with westerly winds moderating coastal temperatures below historical May averages of 26–27°C. Key uncertainties include afternoon cloud clearing and sea breeze timing, which could push toward 26°C; watch for IMS observational updates and revised model runs this afternoon as the resolution window nears.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 15?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 15?
25°C 54%
26°C 33%
27°C 6%
28°C <1%
$26,675 Vol.
$26,675 Vol.
25°C
54%
26°C
40%
27°C
6%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 54%
26°C 33%
27°C 6%
28°C <1%
$26,675 Vol.
$26,675 Vol.
25°C
54%
26°C
40%
27°C
6%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 50.5% probability for a 25°C high in Tel Aviv today, with 37% on 26°C, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service forecast of 23°C and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS projecting peaks around 25°C amid strengthening Mediterranean sea breezes and low-level cloud cover limiting insolation. A sharp cooling trend follows recent inland heat peaking near 34°C on May 12 under a high-pressure ridge, with westerly winds moderating coastal temperatures below historical May averages of 26–27°C. Key uncertainties include afternoon cloud clearing and sea breeze timing, which could push toward 26°C; watch for IMS observational updates and revised model runs this afternoon as the resolution window nears.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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