Recent M7.8 and M6.5 events on June 8 off southern Mindanao and in the Philippines have already registered on USGS records, tilting trader consensus toward at least one outcome for the June 8–14 window. Global M6.0–6.9 frequency averages 20–50 annually per long-term USGS data, equating to roughly 0.4–1 per week and leaving room for zero or two additional events depending on aftershock sequences and independent tectonic triggers. Model uncertainty in short-term seismic forecasting, combined with ongoing monitoring of subduction zones, keeps probabilities for zero, one, and two closely matched while underscoring that any new M6.5+ detection before June 14 would resolve the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHow many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 8 - June 14?
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 8 - June 14?
1 51%
0 48%
2 26%
3 5.9%
$14,640 Vol.
$14,640 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
0
29%
1
41%
2
27%
3
6%
4
1%
5
<1%
>5
<1%
1 51%
0 48%
2 26%
3 5.9%
$14,640 Vol.
$14,640 Vol.
Jun 15, 2026
0
$5,340 Vol.
29%
1
$1,380 Vol.
41%
2
$851 Vol.
27%
3
$963 Vol.
6%
4
$1,564 Vol.
1%
5
$1,422 Vol.
<1%
>5
$3,119 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent M7.8 and M6.5 events on June 8 off southern Mindanao and in the Philippines have already registered on USGS records, tilting trader consensus toward at least one outcome for the June 8–14 window. Global M6.0–6.9 frequency averages 20–50 annually per long-term USGS data, equating to roughly 0.4–1 per week and leaving room for zero or two additional events depending on aftershock sequences and independent tectonic triggers. Model uncertainty in short-term seismic forecasting, combined with ongoing monitoring of subduction zones, keeps probabilities for zero, one, and two closely matched while underscoring that any new M6.5+ detection before June 14 would resolve the market.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 5, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Volume
$14,640Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 5, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent M7.8 and M6.5 events on June 8 off southern Mindanao and in the Philippines have already registered on USGS records, tilting trader consensus toward at least one outcome for the June 8–14 window. Global M6.0–6.9 frequency averages 20–50 annually per long-term USGS data, equating to roughly 0.4–1 per week and leaving room for zero or two additional events depending on aftershock sequences and independent tectonic triggers. Model uncertainty in short-term seismic forecasting, combined with ongoing monitoring of subduction zones, keeps probabilities for zero, one, and two closely matched while underscoring that any new M6.5+ detection before June 14 would resolve the market.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volume
$14,640Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 5, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent M7.8 and M6.5 events on June 8 off southern Mindanao and in the Philippines have already registered on USGS records, tilting trader consensus toward at least one outcome for the June 8–14 window. Global M6.0–6.9 frequency averages 20–50 annually per long-term USGS data, equating to roughly 0.4–1 per week and leaving room for zero or two additional events depending on aftershock sequences and independent tectonic triggers. Model uncertainty in short-term seismic forecasting, combined with ongoing monitoring of subduction zones, keeps probabilities for zero, one, and two closely matched while underscoring that any new M6.5+ detection before June 14 would resolve the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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