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icon for Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Politika·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

icon for Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Politika·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

40-45% 98.8%

45-50% 3.0%

50-55% 2.8%

35-40% 1.3%

Polymarket

$31,803 Vol.

40-45% 98.8%

45-50% 3.0%

50-55% 2.8%

35-40% 1.3%

Polymarket

$31,803 Vol.

<30%

$5,437 Vol.

1%

30-35%

$2,208 Vol.

1%

35-40%

$3,804 Vol.

1%

40-45%

$9,241 Vol.

99%

45-50%

$3,491 Vol.

3%

50-55%

$3,190 Vol.

3%

55%+

$4,432 Vol.

<1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Iván Cepeda secured roughly 41 percent of the vote in Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential election, reflecting his position as the Historic Pact nominee backed by outgoing President Gustavo Petro. Pre-election polls had shown Cepeda leading, yet right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella exceeded expectations with a tough-on-crime platform and evangelical support to finish first at 44 percent. Centrist and conservative votes split among additional candidates, preventing any outright majority. Cepeda accepted the certified results after initial questions, setting up a June 21 runoff. This outcome aligns with the dominant market range, though late shifts in turnout or coalition endorsements ahead of the second round could still influence final tallies if disputes arise.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.

If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Volume
$31,803
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
May 27, 2026, 10:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Iván Cepeda secured roughly 41 percent of the vote in Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential election, reflecting his position as the Historic Pact nominee backed by outgoing President Gustavo Petro. Pre-election polls had shown Cepeda leading, yet right-wing outsider Abelardo de la Espriella exceeded expectations with a tough-on-crime platform and evangelical support to finish first at 44 percent. Centrist and conservative votes split among additional candidates, preventing any outright majority. Cepeda accepted the certified results after initial questions, setting up a June 21 runoff. This outcome aligns with the dominant market range, though late shifts in turnout or coalition endorsements ahead of the second round could still influence final tallies if disputes arise.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.

If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Volume
$31,803
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
May 27, 2026, 10:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

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Ang "Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 7 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "40-45%" sa 99%, sinusundan ng "45-50%" sa 3%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 99¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 99% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?" ay naka-generate ng $31.8K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong May 28, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?," i-browse ang 7 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?" ay "40-45%" sa 99%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 99% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "45-50%" sa 3%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.