Taiwan's opposition parties hold insufficient seats in the Legislative Yuan to secure the two-thirds supermajority required for impeachment under the constitution, leaving the KMT and TPP combined roughly 16 votes short of the 76 needed. The December 2025 motion advanced through initial stages and public hearings amid disputes over revenue allocation legislation and executive countersignature, culminating in a scheduled May 19 roll-call vote that functions primarily as a procedural step rather than a viable removal mechanism. Even passage would route the case to a Constitutional Court currently facing vacancies and limited quorum, extending timelines well beyond the June 30 resolution window. Trader consensus at 98.2 percent for no impeachment reflects these fixed institutional thresholds and absence of cross-party defections, though any sudden legislative realignment or court reconstitution before month-end could introduce limited volatility.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
$618,958 Vol.
$618,958 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
$618,958 Vol.
$618,958 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition parties hold insufficient seats in the Legislative Yuan to secure the two-thirds supermajority required for impeachment under the constitution, leaving the KMT and TPP combined roughly 16 votes short of the 76 needed. The December 2025 motion advanced through initial stages and public hearings amid disputes over revenue allocation legislation and executive countersignature, culminating in a scheduled May 19 roll-call vote that functions primarily as a procedural step rather than a viable removal mechanism. Even passage would route the case to a Constitutional Court currently facing vacancies and limited quorum, extending timelines well beyond the June 30 resolution window. Trader consensus at 98.2 percent for no impeachment reflects these fixed institutional thresholds and absence of cross-party defections, though any sudden legislative realignment or court reconstitution before month-end could introduce limited volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
Volume
$618,958Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition parties hold insufficient seats in the Legislative Yuan to secure the two-thirds supermajority required for impeachment under the constitution, leaving the KMT and TPP combined roughly 16 votes short of the 76 needed. The December 2025 motion advanced through initial stages and public hearings amid disputes over revenue allocation legislation and executive countersignature, culminating in a scheduled May 19 roll-call vote that functions primarily as a procedural step rather than a viable removal mechanism. Even passage would route the case to a Constitutional Court currently facing vacancies and limited quorum, extending timelines well beyond the June 30 resolution window. Trader consensus at 98.2 percent for no impeachment reflects these fixed institutional thresholds and absence of cross-party defections, though any sudden legislative realignment or court reconstitution before month-end could introduce limited volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$618,958Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Taiwan's opposition parties hold insufficient seats in the Legislative Yuan to secure the two-thirds supermajority required for impeachment under the constitution, leaving the KMT and TPP combined roughly 16 votes short of the 76 needed. The December 2025 motion advanced through initial stages and public hearings amid disputes over revenue allocation legislation and executive countersignature, culminating in a scheduled May 19 roll-call vote that functions primarily as a procedural step rather than a viable removal mechanism. Even passage would route the case to a Constitutional Court currently facing vacancies and limited quorum, extending timelines well beyond the June 30 resolution window. Trader consensus at 98.2 percent for no impeachment reflects these fixed institutional thresholds and absence of cross-party defections, though any sudden legislative realignment or court reconstitution before month-end could introduce limited volatility.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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