Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a mostly cloudy night into September 22 with light winds under high pressure, supporting radiative cooling but limiting extreme drops. Overnight lows are projected near 12–15 °C, slightly above the long-term average minimum of 10.4 °C for the date. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 11–14 °C reflects small but meaningful differences in model guidance on cloud cover, dew-point depression, and boundary-layer mixing that determine whether the minimum falls to the lower or upper end of that range. With no major weather systems approaching, traders are weighting the consensus of recent ensemble runs, which show limited potential for sub-11 °C readings unless clearer skies develop than currently expected.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 22?
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
14°C 37%
11°C 19%
7°C or below
3%
8°C
5%
9°C
7%
10°C
11%
11°C
22%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
37%
15°C
18%
16°C
11%
17°C or higher
7%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
14°C 37%
11°C 19%
7°C or below
3%
8°C
5%
9°C
7%
10°C
11%
11°C
22%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
37%
15°C
18%
16°C
11%
17°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a mostly cloudy night into September 22 with light winds under high pressure, supporting radiative cooling but limiting extreme drops. Overnight lows are projected near 12–15 °C, slightly above the long-term average minimum of 10.4 °C for the date. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 11–14 °C reflects small but meaningful differences in model guidance on cloud cover, dew-point depression, and boundary-layer mixing that determine whether the minimum falls to the lower or upper end of that range. With no major weather systems approaching, traders are weighting the consensus of recent ensemble runs, which show limited potential for sub-11 °C readings unless clearer skies develop than currently expected.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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