**Mild overnight conditions driven by a warm air mass and light southwesterly winds are positioning the lowest temperature in London on September 13 near 17–18°C.** Official Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate minimums around 16°C under mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling, with actual station readings from sites such as London City Airport and Heathrow trending slightly higher into the upper teens. This aligns with the market’s strong 73.5% implied probability on 18°C and 16.5% on 17°C, reflecting trader consensus on model consensus and limited scope for sharper drops given the current synoptic pattern. Historical September averages for central London hover near 12–14°C, so the elevated readings represent above-normal warmth that could shift only with unexpected clear skies or a sharper wind shift before final observations close the daily minimum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in London on September 13?
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$10,956 Vol.
$10,956 Vol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$10,956 Vol.
$10,956 Vol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
**Mild overnight conditions driven by a warm air mass and light southwesterly winds are positioning the lowest temperature in London on September 13 near 17–18°C.** Official Met Office guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate minimums around 16°C under mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling, with actual station readings from sites such as London City Airport and Heathrow trending slightly higher into the upper teens. This aligns with the market’s strong 73.5% implied probability on 18°C and 16.5% on 17°C, reflecting trader consensus on model consensus and limited scope for sharper drops given the current synoptic pattern. Historical September averages for central London hover near 12–14°C, so the elevated readings represent above-normal warmth that could shift only with unexpected clear skies or a sharper wind shift before final observations close the daily minimum.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong