**Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological sources and international models indicate mild conditions for Moscow on September 20, driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting warmer air masses.** This setup supports daytime highs near 19–21°C and overnight or early-morning lows typically projected between 10–14°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds and negligible precipitation risk. Model consensus shows limited disagreement on the minimum, though small variations in cloud cover, wind timing, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact low by a few degrees. Historical September climatology places typical overnight minima around 8–12°C, so current guidance sits slightly above average. The closely matched market-implied odds—particularly the split between sub-5°C and 15°C+ outcomes alongside elevated probabilities near 11–13°C—reflect trader recognition of these narrow uncertainty ranges in short-range temperature forecasts rather than any major shift in large-scale patterns. Updated model runs and official briefings from the Hydrometeorological Center will provide the next key data points.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Moscow on September 20?
15°C or higher 89%
5°C or below 85%
8°C 40%
12°C 40%
5°C or below
85%
6°C
19%
7°C
19%
8°C
40%
9°C
22%
10°C
22%
11°C
27%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
18%
15°C or higher
89%
15°C or higher 89%
5°C or below 85%
8°C 40%
12°C 40%
5°C or below
85%
6°C
19%
7°C
19%
8°C
40%
9°C
22%
10°C
22%
11°C
27%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
18%
15°C or higher
89%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological sources and international models indicate mild conditions for Moscow on September 20, driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting warmer air masses.** This setup supports daytime highs near 19–21°C and overnight or early-morning lows typically projected between 10–14°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds and negligible precipitation risk. Model consensus shows limited disagreement on the minimum, though small variations in cloud cover, wind timing, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact low by a few degrees. Historical September climatology places typical overnight minima around 8–12°C, so current guidance sits slightly above average. The closely matched market-implied odds—particularly the split between sub-5°C and 15°C+ outcomes alongside elevated probabilities near 11–13°C—reflect trader recognition of these narrow uncertainty ranges in short-range temperature forecasts rather than any major shift in large-scale patterns. Updated model runs and official briefings from the Hydrometeorological Center will provide the next key data points.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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