Skip to main content
icon for MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Politika·Halalan Sa US

MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Politika·Halalan Sa US

MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner

Patrick Roath 53%

Stephen Lynch 44%

Andrew Zylberfink <1%

Polymarket

$12,906 Vol.

Patrick Roath 53%

Stephen Lynch 44%

Andrew Zylberfink <1%

Polymarket

$12,906 Vol.

icon for Patrick Roath

Patrick Roath

$4,342 Vol.

53%

icon for Stephen Lynch

Stephen Lynch

$7,142 Vol.

44%

icon for Andrew Zylberfink

Andrew Zylberfink

$1,422 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The MA-08 Democratic primary on September 1 features longtime incumbent Stephen Lynch seeking a 12th term against challenger Patrick Roath, a voting rights attorney and former Deval Patrick aide emphasizing generational turnover, affordable housing, and family affordability. Recent Boston Globe reporting highlights a tightening contest driven by anti-incumbent sentiment and Roath's union endorsements, with limited public polling beyond an earlier Roath-commissioned survey showing informed voters shifting toward the challenger. Trader consensus prices the race near even because Lynch retains name recognition and institutional advantages in a safely Democratic district, while Roath's momentum has not yet produced decisive separation in fundraising or broad voter surveys. Upcoming candidate forums, final cash reports, and turnout efforts in the final weeks could widen the gap before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$12,906
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 1, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The MA-08 Democratic primary on September 1 features longtime incumbent Stephen Lynch seeking a 12th term against challenger Patrick Roath, a voting rights attorney and former Deval Patrick aide emphasizing generational turnover, affordable housing, and family affordability. Recent Boston Globe reporting highlights a tightening contest driven by anti-incumbent sentiment and Roath's union endorsements, with limited public polling beyond an earlier Roath-commissioned survey showing informed voters shifting toward the challenger. Trader consensus prices the race near even because Lynch retains name recognition and institutional advantages in a safely Democratic district, while Roath's momentum has not yet produced decisive separation in fundraising or broad voter surveys. Upcoming candidate forums, final cash reports, and turnout efforts in the final weeks could widen the gap before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$12,906
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 1, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Kaugnay

icon for Will Bill Keating be the MA-09 Democratic nominee?

Will Bill Keating be the MA-09 Democratic nominee?

97%
icon for Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?

Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?

79%
icon for Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?

Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?

80%

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 3 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Patrick Roath" sa 53%, sinusundan ng "Stephen Lynch" sa 45%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 53¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 53% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $12.9K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Mar 3, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 3 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Patrick Roath" sa 53%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 53% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Stephen Lynch" sa 45%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.