Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) leads the Mato Grosso do Sul Senate race as the consensus frontrunner for first place, with recent polls from institutes including Ranking Brasil and Real Time Big Data showing him at 30–38% in stimulated scenarios for the first vote, well ahead of rivals. His switch from PSDB to PL, combined with explicit backing from Flávio Bolsonaro and alignment with the party’s national strategy, has consolidated right-leaning support in a state that leans conservative. Capitão Contar (PL) and Vander Loubet (PT) trail as the next most visible contenders, while Soraya Thronicke (PSB) and others register lower single-digit or low-teen shares. With candidate registration closed and the October election roughly two months away, Azambuja’s sustained polling advantage and institutional party resources explain the market’s elevated probability for him finishing first.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateReinaldo Azambuja 50%
Beto do Movimento 24%
Valderi Garcia 21%
Vander Loubet 20%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 4, 2026
Reinaldo Azambuja
56%
Beto do Movimento
24%
Valderi Garcia
21%
Vander Loubet
20%
Capitão Contar
20%
Daniel Junior
19%
Soraya
18%
Roberto Oshiro
7%
Valter da Comagran
7%
Luiz Lemes
7%
Reinaldo Azambuja 50%
Beto do Movimento 24%
Valderi Garcia 21%
Vander Loubet 20%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 4, 2026
Reinaldo Azambuja
$148 Vol.
56%
Beto do Movimento
$21 Vol.
24%
Valderi Garcia
$21 Vol.
21%
Vander Loubet
$21 Vol.
20%
Capitão Contar
$21 Vol.
20%
Daniel Junior
$21 Vol.
19%
Soraya
$21 Vol.
18%
Roberto Oshiro
$92 Vol.
7%
Valter da Comagran
$90 Vol.
7%
Luiz Lemes
$42 Vol.
7%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) leads the Mato Grosso do Sul Senate race as the consensus frontrunner for first place, with recent polls from institutes including Ranking Brasil and Real Time Big Data showing him at 30–38% in stimulated scenarios for the first vote, well ahead of rivals. His switch from PSDB to PL, combined with explicit backing from Flávio Bolsonaro and alignment with the party’s national strategy, has consolidated right-leaning support in a state that leans conservative. Capitão Contar (PL) and Vander Loubet (PT) trail as the next most visible contenders, while Soraya Thronicke (PSB) and others register lower single-digit or low-teen shares. With candidate registration closed and the October election roughly two months away, Azambuja’s sustained polling advantage and institutional party resources explain the market’s elevated probability for him finishing first.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$498Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) leads the Mato Grosso do Sul Senate race as the consensus frontrunner for first place, with recent polls from institutes including Ranking Brasil and Real Time Big Data showing him at 30–38% in stimulated scenarios for the first vote, well ahead of rivals. His switch from PSDB to PL, combined with explicit backing from Flávio Bolsonaro and alignment with the party’s national strategy, has consolidated right-leaning support in a state that leans conservative. Capitão Contar (PL) and Vander Loubet (PT) trail as the next most visible contenders, while Soraya Thronicke (PSB) and others register lower single-digit or low-teen shares. With candidate registration closed and the October election roughly two months away, Azambuja’s sustained polling advantage and institutional party resources explain the market’s elevated probability for him finishing first.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$498Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) leads the Mato Grosso do Sul Senate race as the consensus frontrunner for first place, with recent polls from institutes including Ranking Brasil and Real Time Big Data showing him at 30–38% in stimulated scenarios for the first vote, well ahead of rivals. His switch from PSDB to PL, combined with explicit backing from Flávio Bolsonaro and alignment with the party’s national strategy, has consolidated right-leaning support in a state that leans conservative. Capitão Contar (PL) and Vander Loubet (PT) trail as the next most visible contenders, while Soraya Thronicke (PSB) and others register lower single-digit or low-teen shares. With candidate registration closed and the October election roughly two months away, Azambuja’s sustained polling advantage and institutional party resources explain the market’s elevated probability for him finishing first.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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