Recent April CPI data surprised to the upside at 3.8% year-over-year, up sharply from March’s 3.3% reading and exceeding consensus, which has anchored trader expectations for the May annual rate near 4.3%. This reacceleration, driven primarily by energy and shelter components, has narrowed the gap between the 4.3% and ≥4.4% outcomes while keeping the 4.2% bucket in close contention. Market-implied odds reflect ongoing uncertainty over whether May’s print will sustain the momentum from April’s hot figures or show early signs of moderation amid still-elevated core pressures. With the next CPI release scheduled for mid-June, traders are closely monitoring incoming data on gasoline prices and housing costs for any last-minute shifts in the distribution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update4.3% 36%
≥4.4% 34%
4.2% 25%
4.1% 8%
$21,933 Vol.
$21,933 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
≤3.3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
1%
3.8%
<1%
3.9%
1%
4.0%
1%
4.1%
8%
4.2%
25%
4.3%
36%
≥4.4%
34%
4.3% 36%
≥4.4% 34%
4.2% 25%
4.1% 8%
$21,933 Vol.
$21,933 Vol.
Jun 10, 2026
≤3.3%
$667 Vol.
<1%
3.4%
$513 Vol.
<1%
3.5%
$908 Vol.
1%
3.6%
$684 Vol.
<1%
3.7%
$638 Vol.
1%
3.8%
$632 Vol.
<1%
3.9%
$656 Vol.
1%
4.0%
$751 Vol.
1%
4.1%
$1,907 Vol.
8%
4.2%
$3,834 Vol.
25%
4.3%
$7,473 Vol.
36%
≥4.4%
$3,270 Vol.
34%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent April CPI data surprised to the upside at 3.8% year-over-year, up sharply from March’s 3.3% reading and exceeding consensus, which has anchored trader expectations for the May annual rate near 4.3%. This reacceleration, driven primarily by energy and shelter components, has narrowed the gap between the 4.3% and ≥4.4% outcomes while keeping the 4.2% bucket in close contention. Market-implied odds reflect ongoing uncertainty over whether May’s print will sustain the momentum from April’s hot figures or show early signs of moderation amid still-elevated core pressures. With the next CPI release scheduled for mid-June, traders are closely monitoring incoming data on gasoline prices and housing costs for any last-minute shifts in the distribution.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Binuksan ang Market: May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Volume
$21,933Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 10, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent April CPI data surprised to the upside at 3.8% year-over-year, up sharply from March’s 3.3% reading and exceeding consensus, which has anchored trader expectations for the May annual rate near 4.3%. This reacceleration, driven primarily by energy and shelter components, has narrowed the gap between the 4.3% and ≥4.4% outcomes while keeping the 4.2% bucket in close contention. Market-implied odds reflect ongoing uncertainty over whether May’s print will sustain the momentum from April’s hot figures or show early signs of moderation amid still-elevated core pressures. With the next CPI release scheduled for mid-June, traders are closely monitoring incoming data on gasoline prices and housing costs for any last-minute shifts in the distribution.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$21,933Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 10, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April CPI data surprised to the upside at 3.8% year-over-year, up sharply from March’s 3.3% reading and exceeding consensus, which has anchored trader expectations for the May annual rate near 4.3%. This reacceleration, driven primarily by energy and shelter components, has narrowed the gap between the 4.3% and ≥4.4% outcomes while keeping the 4.2% bucket in close contention. Market-implied odds reflect ongoing uncertainty over whether May’s print will sustain the momentum from April’s hot figures or show early signs of moderation amid still-elevated core pressures. With the next CPI release scheduled for mid-June, traders are closely monitoring incoming data on gasoline prices and housing costs for any last-minute shifts in the distribution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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