Ongoing public protests across Ukraine since mid-July 2026, triggered by President Zelenskyy's dismissal of Mykhailo Fedorov after just six months as Defense Minister, continue to shape expectations around any potential reinstatement. Fedorov, appointed by the Verkhovna Rada in January 2026, rejected alternative roles such as deputy prime minister and has stated he will accept only the Defense Ministry position to advance procurement reforms and technological modernization. Zelenskyy has named an acting minister while also replacing the commander-in-chief, yet has shown no reversal on Fedorov amid the cabinet reshuffle. Traders monitor further street demonstrations, parliamentary dynamics, and any official statements for signs of renewed appointment, which requires formal Rada approval and presidential initiative.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by...?
$318,639 Vol.
August 31
4%
$318,639 Vol.
August 31
4%
Fedorov will be considered reinstated if he is either i) officially assigned to temporarily perform the minister’s duties or ii) formally nominated for appointment by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to the Verkhovna Rada.
A temporary reinstatement will be considered to have occurred when the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine officially and definitively announces that Mykhailo Fedorov has been assigned to temporarily perform the duties of the Minister of Defense. A formal nomination will be considered to have occurred upon the submission of Mykhailo Fedorov’s nomination to the Verkhovna Rada.
A public statement, media report, expression of intent, or informal announcement will not qualify, unless it constitutes an official and definitive announcement by the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers assigning Fedorov to perform the minister’s duties. Fedorov does not need to be approved by the Verkhovna Rada, take the oath of office, or assume the position on a permanent basis to qualify.
Whether any individual other than Mykhailo Fedorov is nominated, temporarily assigned, or appointed Minister of Defense, within the market timeframe, will not be considered.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information and records from the President of Ukraine, the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine, and the Verkhovna Rada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 22, 2026, 1:19 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Fedorov will be considered reinstated if he is either i) officially assigned to temporarily perform the minister’s duties or ii) formally nominated for appointment by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to the Verkhovna Rada.
A temporary reinstatement will be considered to have occurred when the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine officially and definitively announces that Mykhailo Fedorov has been assigned to temporarily perform the duties of the Minister of Defense. A formal nomination will be considered to have occurred upon the submission of Mykhailo Fedorov’s nomination to the Verkhovna Rada.
A public statement, media report, expression of intent, or informal announcement will not qualify, unless it constitutes an official and definitive announcement by the President of Ukraine or the Cabinet of Ministers assigning Fedorov to perform the minister’s duties. Fedorov does not need to be approved by the Verkhovna Rada, take the oath of office, or assume the position on a permanent basis to qualify.
Whether any individual other than Mykhailo Fedorov is nominated, temporarily assigned, or appointed Minister of Defense, within the market timeframe, will not be considered.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information and records from the President of Ukraine, the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine, and the Verkhovna Rada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing public protests across Ukraine since mid-July 2026, triggered by President Zelenskyy's dismissal of Mykhailo Fedorov after just six months as Defense Minister, continue to shape expectations around any potential reinstatement. Fedorov, appointed by the Verkhovna Rada in January 2026, rejected alternative roles such as deputy prime minister and has stated he will accept only the Defense Ministry position to advance procurement reforms and technological modernization. Zelenskyy has named an acting minister while also replacing the commander-in-chief, yet has shown no reversal on Fedorov amid the cabinet reshuffle. Traders monitor further street demonstrations, parliamentary dynamics, and any official statements for signs of renewed appointment, which requires formal Rada approval and presidential initiative.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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