Incumbent Republican Governor Phil Scott commands 95.5% trader consensus in the Vermont GOP gubernatorial primary due to his unmatched popularity—sustained approval ratings above 70%—and history of landslide primary victories in the deep-blue state, where he has secured reelection every two years since 2017. With petitions circulating since early April to secure his spot on the August 11 ballot ahead of the May 28 filing deadline, no credible challengers have emerged, boosting odds from 73% last month amid filing inactivity. Listed contender Lieutenant Governor John Rodgers, at 13.4%, shifted focus to his own reelection bid in February, leaving Scott unopposed. Upsets could stem from Scott declining a sixth term, a late-filed rival post-deadline, or a scandal before primary day.