Incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen secured the top spot in Washington’s August 4, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 42 percent, advancing against Republican Edwin Feller and reflecting the district’s consistent Democratic tilt. Larsen has represented WA-02 since 2001 and won re-election in 2024 by more than 27 points, supported by strong fundraising and established voter coalitions in the Puget Sound region. Forecasters from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the 94 percent implied probability in current trader consensus. A late scandal, health development, or unusually adverse national environment for Democrats could still narrow margins, though structural and historical patterns make such shifts unlikely before November 3.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWA-02 House Election Winner
WA-02 House Election Winner
$17,895 Vol.
$17,895 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$17,895 Vol.
$17,895 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,575 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$6,321 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen secured the top spot in Washington’s August 4, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 42 percent, advancing against Republican Edwin Feller and reflecting the district’s consistent Democratic tilt. Larsen has represented WA-02 since 2001 and won re-election in 2024 by more than 27 points, supported by strong fundraising and established voter coalitions in the Puget Sound region. Forecasters from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the 94 percent implied probability in current trader consensus. A late scandal, health development, or unusually adverse national environment for Democrats could still narrow margins, though structural and historical patterns make such shifts unlikely before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$17,895Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen secured the top spot in Washington’s August 4, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 42 percent, advancing against Republican Edwin Feller and reflecting the district’s consistent Democratic tilt. Larsen has represented WA-02 since 2001 and won re-election in 2024 by more than 27 points, supported by strong fundraising and established voter coalitions in the Puget Sound region. Forecasters from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the 94 percent implied probability in current trader consensus. A late scandal, health development, or unusually adverse national environment for Democrats could still narrow margins, though structural and historical patterns make such shifts unlikely before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,895Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen secured the top spot in Washington’s August 4, 2026, top-two primary with roughly 42 percent, advancing against Republican Edwin Feller and reflecting the district’s consistent Democratic tilt. Larsen has represented WA-02 since 2001 and won re-election in 2024 by more than 27 points, supported by strong fundraising and established voter coalitions in the Puget Sound region. Forecasters from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the 94 percent implied probability in current trader consensus. A late scandal, health development, or unusually adverse national environment for Democrats could still narrow margins, though structural and historical patterns make such shifts unlikely before November 3.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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