Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene's strong performance in the August 2026 primary, where she secured over 53 percent to advance alongside Republican Mary Silva, reinforces trader consensus around Democratic control of Washington's 1st Congressional District. The seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in DelBene's 63 percent victory in 2024 and its partisan voting index, underpins the 94 percent implied probability. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid D rating, consistent with historical patterns in this suburban and exurban district north of Seattle. A significant national Republican wave, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected turnout surge would be required to shift the outcome before November.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWA-01 House Election Winner
$30,791 Vol.
$30,791 Vol.
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
3%
$30,791 Vol.
$30,791 Vol.
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
3%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene's strong performance in the August 2026 primary, where she secured over 53 percent to advance alongside Republican Mary Silva, reinforces trader consensus around Democratic control of Washington's 1st Congressional District. The seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in DelBene's 63 percent victory in 2024 and its partisan voting index, underpins the 94 percent implied probability. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid D rating, consistent with historical patterns in this suburban and exurban district north of Seattle. A significant national Republican wave, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected turnout surge would be required to shift the outcome before November.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong