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ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner

ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Joe Baldacci 73%

Matthew Dunlap 24%

Jordan Wood 7%

Jared Golden 3.1%

Polymarket

$14,771 Vol.

Joe Baldacci 73%

Matthew Dunlap 24%

Jordan Wood 7%

Jared Golden 3.1%

Polymarket

$14,771 Vol.

Joe Baldacci

$4,568 Vol.

73%

Matthew Dunlap

$3,865 Vol.

24%

Jordan Wood

$3,098 Vol.

7%

Jared Golden

$2,893 Vol.

3%

Paige Loud

$348 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Joe Baldacci leads trader consensus at 62.5% in the open ME-02 Democratic primary following Rep. Jared Golden's November 2025 retirement announcement, which cleared the field for state Sen. Baldacci, former state Auditor Matthew Dunlap, Jordan Wood, and Paige Loud. Baldacci's edge stems from his May 4 endorsement by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee via its "Red to Blue" program—a rare early national party signal in this battleground district five weeks ahead of the June 9 primary—boosting his fundraising and visibility as the establishment choice against GOP frontrunner Paul LePage. Dunlap holds 24% with progressive backing like Our Revolution, while a cordial April 28 debate highlighted candidate alignment on key issues, underscoring a competitive but unified field absent recent public polls.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$14,771
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 9, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 3:36 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Joe Baldacci leads trader consensus at 62.5% in the open ME-02 Democratic primary following Rep. Jared Golden's November 2025 retirement announcement, which cleared the field for state Sen. Baldacci, former state Auditor Matthew Dunlap, Jordan Wood, and Paige Loud. Baldacci's edge stems from his May 4 endorsement by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee via its "Red to Blue" program—a rare early national party signal in this battleground district five weeks ahead of the June 9 primary—boosting his fundraising and visibility as the establishment choice against GOP frontrunner Paul LePage. Dunlap holds 24% with progressive backing like Our Revolution, while a cordial April 28 debate highlighted candidate alignment on key issues, underscoring a competitive but unified field absent recent public polls.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$14,771
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 9, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 3:36 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Joe Baldacci" sa 73%, sinusundan ng "Matthew Dunlap" sa 24%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 73¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 73% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $14.8K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 25, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Joe Baldacci" sa 73%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 73% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Matthew Dunlap" sa 24%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.