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icon for Sino ang susunod na Punong Ministro ng Israel pagkatapos ng susunod na halalan?
Politika·Gitnang Silangan

Sino ang susunod na Punong Ministro ng Israel pagkatapos ng susunod na halalan?

icon for Sino ang susunod na Punong Ministro ng Israel pagkatapos ng susunod na halalan?
Politika·Gitnang Silangan

Sino ang susunod na Punong Ministro ng Israel pagkatapos ng susunod na halalan?

Benjamin Netanyahu 40%

Naftali Bennett 40%

Gadi Eizenkot 11.3%

Avigdor Lieberman 3.5%

Polymarket

$9,467,393 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu 40%

Naftali Bennett 40%

Gadi Eizenkot 11.3%

Avigdor Lieberman 3.5%

Polymarket

$9,467,393 Vol.

Benjamin Netanyahu

$751,997 Vol.

40%

Naftali Bennett

$1,408,559 Vol.

40%

Gadi Eizenkot

$749,605 Vol.

11%

Avigdor Lieberman

$658,563 Vol.

3%

Yair Lapid

$514,042 Vol.

1%

Israel Katz

$163,773 Vol.

1%

Itamar Ben Gvir

$339,841 Vol.

<1%

Ayelet Shaked

$547,590 Vol.

<1%

Amir Ohana

$340,393 Vol.

<1%

Benny Gantz

$349,074 Vol.

<1%

Yossi Cohen

$614,863 Vol.

<1%

Yariv Levin

$467,081 Vol.

<1%

Yair Golan

$485,938 Vol.

<1%

Gideon Sa’ar

$726,227 Vol.

<1%

Moshe Feiglin

$520,308 Vol.

<1%

Yoaz Hendel

$541,317 Vol.

<1%

Nir Barkat

$288,252 Vol.

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The near-parity between Benjamin Netanyahu and Naftali Bennett in trader pricing reflects Israel's fragmented parliamentary system, where coalition negotiations after the October 2026 Knesset vote will determine the next prime minister. Recent polling shows Bennett's newly formed Together alliance with Yair Lapid slightly ahead of Likud as the largest party, though Netanyahu's right-wing bloc retains a narrow path to a majority through partners such as Shas and United Torah Judaism. Gadi Eizenkot's potential inclusion in the opposition camp adds another variable that could shift momentum. Security assessments following the October 7 attacks and subsequent conflicts continue to influence voter priorities across blocs, while ongoing legal proceedings against Netanyahu create additional uncertainty for both sides in the final months before the election.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,467,393
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The near-parity between Benjamin Netanyahu and Naftali Bennett in trader pricing reflects Israel's fragmented parliamentary system, where coalition negotiations after the October 2026 Knesset vote will determine the next prime minister. Recent polling shows Bennett's newly formed Together alliance with Yair Lapid slightly ahead of Likud as the largest party, though Netanyahu's right-wing bloc retains a narrow path to a majority through partners such as Shas and United Torah Judaism. Gadi Eizenkot's potential inclusion in the opposition camp adds another variable that could shift momentum. Security assessments following the October 7 attacks and subsequent conflicts continue to influence voter priorities across blocs, while ongoing legal proceedings against Netanyahu create additional uncertainty for both sides in the final months before the election.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,467,393
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Sino ang susunod na Punong Ministro ng Israel pagkatapos ng susunod na halalan?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 17 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Benjamin Netanyahu" sa 40%, sinusundan ng "Naftali Bennett" sa 40%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 40¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 40% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Sino ang susunod na Punong Ministro ng Israel pagkatapos ng susunod na halalan?" ay naka-generate ng $9.5 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 15, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Sino ang susunod na Punong Ministro ng Israel pagkatapos ng susunod na halalan?," i-browse ang 17 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Sino ang susunod na Punong Ministro ng Israel pagkatapos ng susunod na halalan?" ay "Benjamin Netanyahu" sa 40%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 40% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Naftali Bennett" sa 40%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Sino ang susunod na Punong Ministro ng Israel pagkatapos ng susunod na halalan?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.