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Nonfarm Payroll mga prediksiyon at odds

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How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

11%

5.0%

$464K Vol.

$13.9K Liq.

20

Ends in 6 months

How many jobs added in July?

How many jobs added in July?

44%

50k – 100k

$0 Vol.

$10.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

7%

December 31

$61M Vol.

$1M Liq.

1,638

Ends in 6 months

Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence

Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence

77%

Thom Tillis

$1.6K Vol.

$305 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Who will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?

Who will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?

54%

Mitch McConnell

$63 Vol.

$355 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

JOLTS Job Openings — June 2026

JOLTS Job Openings — June 2026

44%

7.3M-7.4M

$68 Vol.

$137 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will Newmont (NEM) Q2 total attributable gold production be above __?

Will Newmont (NEM) Q2 total attributable gold production be above __?

72%

1,200 koz

$370 Vol.

$359 Liq.

Ends in 19 days

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

39%

Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)

$29.0K Vol.

$16.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

6%

$8.7K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

July Unemployment Rate

July Unemployment Rate

36%

4.3%

$25 Vol.

$20.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

3rd largest private company end of July?

3rd largest private company end of July?

82%

Stripe

$3.7K Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?

Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?

96%

$168 Vol.

$644 Liq.

Ends in 10 days

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

11%

$2M Vol.

$37.3K Liq.

69

Ends in 7 months

2nd largest private company end of July?

2nd largest private company end of July?

95%

OpenAI

$5.3K Vol.

$53.2K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

Will Citizens Financial Group (CFG) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Citizens Financial Group (CFG) beat quarterly earnings?

88%

$388 Vol.

$67 Liq.

Ends in 12 days

Largest private company end of July?

Largest private company end of July?

96%

Anthropic

$15.1K Vol.

$28.0K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

82%

Up

$25.6K Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) Q2 core net new assets be above __?

Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) Q2 core net new assets be above __?

100%

$95B

$0 Vol.

Ends in 13 days

Will BlackRock (BLK) Q2 quarterly total net inflows be above __?

Will BlackRock (BLK) Q2 quarterly total net inflows be above __?

28%

$125B

$381 Vol.

$136 Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31?

Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31?

18%

Stripe

$85 Vol.

$537 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang Polymarket ang pinakamalaking prediction market sa mundo, kung saan maaari kang manatiling informed at kumita mula sa iyong kaalaman sa pamamagitan ng pag-trade sa mga bagay na may kaugnayan sa breaking news, pulitika, sports, eleksyon, crypto, finance, tech, kultura, kasama ang mga paksa tulad ng Nonfarm Payroll.

Kasalukuyang nag-ho-host ang Polymarket ng 103 aktibong markets para sa Nonfarm Payroll na nagbibigay-daan sa iyong subaybayan o mag-trade sa mga prediksiyon tulad ng "How high will US unemployment go in 2026?". Sinusubaybayan mo man ang mga malawakang pinagdedebatehang event o niche outcomes, pinagsasama-sama ng platform ang real-time odds batay sa higit $63.5M sa trading volume, na nagbibigay ng komprehensibong view ng sentimyento ng mga fan at investor.

Ang bawat polymarket ay isang yes/no na tanong, tulad ng "Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?". Bumibili ka ng shares sa "yes" o "no" na outcomes. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa crowd-sourced odds at probabilities. Halimbawa, kung ang yes ay nasa 30 cents, ibig sabihin 30% ang tsansa. Nire-resolve ang mga market batay sa opisyal na resulta. Para sa multi-outcome events, tulad ng "Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?," mag-trade ka lang sa partikular na outcome na sa tingin mong mananalo.

Sa ngayon, ang pinaka-aktibong market ay "Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?," kung saan ang crowd ay kasalukuyang nagtatakda ng 7% na tsansa sa December 31. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon at nag-te-trade ang mga user, na nag-aalok ng dynamic na snapshot kung ano ang pinaniniwalaan ng market na mangyayari kumpara sa tradisyonal na bookmaker odds.

Tinatanggal nito ang ingay. Hindi tulad ng mga poll o punditry, pinapakita sa iyo ng Polymarket ang real-time odds sa Nonfarm Payroll predictions na sinusuportahan ng financial conviction na kadalasang mas mabilis at mas tumpak kaysa sa mga eksperto o survey. Makakakuha ka ng unbiased na view ng kung ano ang iniisip ng libu-libong traders na talagang mangyayari, na kadalasang mas tumpak kaysa sa polls. Dagdag pa, maaari kang mag-trade ng shares at posibleng kumita kung tama ang iyong mga prediksiyon.