Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 state election show Die Linke consistently between 19% and 23%, placing the party at or near the top alongside the CDU in surveys from INSA, Infratest dimap, and Forschungsgruppe Wahlen conducted in early to mid-September. The party’s focus on the housing crisis and proposals to nationalize investor-owned apartments has resonated amid sharply rising rents, boosting support under lead candidate Elif Eralp. These results reflect a clear upward trend from the 12.2% share in the 2023 election and underpin trader consensus that Die Linke will finish above 20%. The final outcome remains subject to turnout and late shifts in a fragmented field where smaller parties may fall below the 5% threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOver
Over
This market will resolve to “Over” if Linke wins at least 20% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Under” if Linke wins less than 20% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Over” if Linke wins at least 20% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Under” if Linke wins less than 20% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 state election show Die Linke consistently between 19% and 23%, placing the party at or near the top alongside the CDU in surveys from INSA, Infratest dimap, and Forschungsgruppe Wahlen conducted in early to mid-September. The party’s focus on the housing crisis and proposals to nationalize investor-owned apartments has resonated amid sharply rising rents, boosting support under lead candidate Elif Eralp. These results reflect a clear upward trend from the 12.2% share in the 2023 election and underpin trader consensus that Die Linke will finish above 20%. The final outcome remains subject to turnout and late shifts in a fragmented field where smaller parties may fall below the 5% threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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