Recent energy price surges tied to Middle East geopolitical tensions have driven Eurozone headline inflation sharply higher, with the April 2026 HICP flash estimate reaching 3.0% year-over-year—its highest level since late 2023—and pushing the market-implied probability of a 3.1%+ annual average for 2026 to 59.7%. This outcome leads because the shock has lifted ECB staff and Survey of Professional Forecasters projections to 2.6–2.7% for the full year, well above earlier baselines, while core inflation has eased only modestly to 2.2%. Traders are pricing in limited second-round effects so far, but persistent energy cost pass-through and upcoming data releases could sustain the upward bias in consensus odds until clearer disinflation signals emerge.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоEurozone Annual Inflation 2026
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
3.1%+ 60.9%
2.8-3.0% 25.9%
1.9–2.1% 17.4%
<1.0% 12.8%
$12,885 Обс.
$12,885 Обс.
Jan 19, 2027
<1.0%
23%
1.0–1.2%
4%
1.3–1.5%
1%
1.6–1.8%
12%
1.9–2.1%
17%
2.2–2.4%
12%
2.5–2.7%
11%
2.8-3.0%
26%
3.1%+
58%
3.1%+ 60.9%
2.8-3.0% 25.9%
1.9–2.1% 17.4%
<1.0% 12.8%
$12,885 Обс.
$12,885 Обс.
Jan 19, 2027
<1.0%
$1,069 Обс.
23%
1.0–1.2%
$769 Обс.
4%
1.3–1.5%
$2,022 Обс.
1%
1.6–1.8%
$1,185 Обс.
12%
1.9–2.1%
$2,881 Обс.
17%
2.2–2.4%
$1,021 Обс.
12%
2.5–2.7%
$1,139 Обс.
11%
2.8-3.0%
$635 Обс.
26%
3.1%+
$2,163 Обс.
58%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlRecent energy price surges tied to Middle East geopolitical tensions have driven Eurozone headline inflation sharply higher, with the April 2026 HICP flash estimate reaching 3.0% year-over-year—its highest level since late 2023—and pushing the market-implied probability of a 3.1%+ annual average for 2026 to 59.7%. This outcome leads because the shock has lifted ECB staff and Survey of Professional Forecasters projections to 2.6–2.7% for the full year, well above earlier baselines, while core inflation has eased only modestly to 2.2%. Traders are pricing in limited second-round effects so far, but persistent energy cost pass-through and upcoming data releases could sustain the upward bias in consensus odds until clearer disinflation signals emerge.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Ринок відкрито: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Обсяг
$12,885Дата завершення
Jan 19, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlRecent energy price surges tied to Middle East geopolitical tensions have driven Eurozone headline inflation sharply higher, with the April 2026 HICP flash estimate reaching 3.0% year-over-year—its highest level since late 2023—and pushing the market-implied probability of a 3.1%+ annual average for 2026 to 59.7%. This outcome leads because the shock has lifted ECB staff and Survey of Professional Forecasters projections to 2.6–2.7% for the full year, well above earlier baselines, while core inflation has eased only modestly to 2.2%. Traders are pricing in limited second-round effects so far, but persistent energy cost pass-through and upcoming data releases could sustain the upward bias in consensus odds until clearer disinflation signals emerge.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Обсяг
$12,885Дата завершення
Jan 19, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent energy price surges tied to Middle East geopolitical tensions have driven Eurozone headline inflation sharply higher, with the April 2026 HICP flash estimate reaching 3.0% year-over-year—its highest level since late 2023—and pushing the market-implied probability of a 3.1%+ annual average for 2026 to 59.7%. This outcome leads because the shock has lifted ECB staff and Survey of Professional Forecasters projections to 2.6–2.7% for the full year, well above earlier baselines, while core inflation has eased only modestly to 2.2%. Traders are pricing in limited second-round effects so far, but persistent energy cost pass-through and upcoming data releases could sustain the upward bias in consensus odds until clearer disinflation signals emerge.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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