Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 92% for Florida's 1st Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's strong R+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and history of GOP landslides exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, including incumbent Jimmy Patronis's 15-point special election win in April 2025 over Democrat Gay Valimont. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, with Patronis leading fundraising ahead of the August 18 primaries against multiple GOP challengers, while Valimont faces a quiet Democratic primary. No major developments have shifted sentiment in recent weeks; scenarios like a GOP scandal, primary upset yielding a weakened nominee, or extraordinary national Democratic turnout could challenge this, though structural advantages make an upset unlikely before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFL-01 House Election Winner
FL-01 House Election Winner
$108,741 Обс.
$108,741 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
2%
$108,741 Обс.
$108,741 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$85,394 Обс.
92%
Democratic Party
$23,346 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 92% for Florida's 1st Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's strong R+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and history of GOP landslides exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, including incumbent Jimmy Patronis's 15-point special election win in April 2025 over Democrat Gay Valimont. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, with Patronis leading fundraising ahead of the August 18 primaries against multiple GOP challengers, while Valimont faces a quiet Democratic primary. No major developments have shifted sentiment in recent weeks; scenarios like a GOP scandal, primary upset yielding a weakened nominee, or extraordinary national Democratic turnout could challenge this, though structural advantages make an upset unlikely before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$108,741Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 92% for Florida's 1st Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's strong R+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and history of GOP landslides exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, including incumbent Jimmy Patronis's 15-point special election win in April 2025 over Democrat Gay Valimont. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, with Patronis leading fundraising ahead of the August 18 primaries against multiple GOP challengers, while Valimont faces a quiet Democratic primary. No major developments have shifted sentiment in recent weeks; scenarios like a GOP scandal, primary upset yielding a weakened nominee, or extraordinary national Democratic turnout could challenge this, though structural advantages make an upset unlikely before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$108,741Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 92% for Florida's 1st Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's strong R+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and history of GOP landslides exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, including incumbent Jimmy Patronis's 15-point special election win in April 2025 over Democrat Gay Valimont. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican, with Patronis leading fundraising ahead of the August 18 primaries against multiple GOP challengers, while Valimont faces a quiet Democratic primary. No major developments have shifted sentiment in recent weeks; scenarios like a GOP scandal, primary upset yielding a weakened nominee, or extraordinary national Democratic turnout could challenge this, though structural advantages make an upset unlikely before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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