Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a commanding position in Florida's 28th congressional district, a Miami-area seat encompassing parts of Miami-Dade County, suburbs like Tamiami and Homestead, and the Florida Keys. The district carries an R+10 partisan voter index and delivered Republican presidential margins in recent cycles, reinforced by mid-decade redistricting that strengthened GOP-leaning seats statewide. Giménez, seeking a fourth term after winning 64.6% in 2024, advanced automatically when the Republican primary was canceled, while Democrat Phil Ehr faces limited structural support in a seat rated Solid Republican by Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and other forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican reflects this baseline partisanship and incumbency edge. A late national Democratic surge, unexpected scandal, or health-related withdrawal could still alter the outcome before November 3, 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFL-28 House Election Winner
FL-28 House Election Winner
$57,344 Обс.
$57,344 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$57,344 Обс.
$57,344 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$33,614 Обс.
95%
Democratic Party
$23,731 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a commanding position in Florida's 28th congressional district, a Miami-area seat encompassing parts of Miami-Dade County, suburbs like Tamiami and Homestead, and the Florida Keys. The district carries an R+10 partisan voter index and delivered Republican presidential margins in recent cycles, reinforced by mid-decade redistricting that strengthened GOP-leaning seats statewide. Giménez, seeking a fourth term after winning 64.6% in 2024, advanced automatically when the Republican primary was canceled, while Democrat Phil Ehr faces limited structural support in a seat rated Solid Republican by Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and other forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican reflects this baseline partisanship and incumbency edge. A late national Democratic surge, unexpected scandal, or health-related withdrawal could still alter the outcome before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$57,344Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a commanding position in Florida's 28th congressional district, a Miami-area seat encompassing parts of Miami-Dade County, suburbs like Tamiami and Homestead, and the Florida Keys. The district carries an R+10 partisan voter index and delivered Republican presidential margins in recent cycles, reinforced by mid-decade redistricting that strengthened GOP-leaning seats statewide. Giménez, seeking a fourth term after winning 64.6% in 2024, advanced automatically when the Republican primary was canceled, while Democrat Phil Ehr faces limited structural support in a seat rated Solid Republican by Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and other forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican reflects this baseline partisanship and incumbency edge. A late national Democratic surge, unexpected scandal, or health-related withdrawal could still alter the outcome before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$57,344Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a commanding position in Florida's 28th congressional district, a Miami-area seat encompassing parts of Miami-Dade County, suburbs like Tamiami and Homestead, and the Florida Keys. The district carries an R+10 partisan voter index and delivered Republican presidential margins in recent cycles, reinforced by mid-decade redistricting that strengthened GOP-leaning seats statewide. Giménez, seeking a fourth term after winning 64.6% in 2024, advanced automatically when the Republican primary was canceled, while Democrat Phil Ehr faces limited structural support in a seat rated Solid Republican by Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and other forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5% Republican reflects this baseline partisanship and incumbency edge. A late national Democratic surge, unexpected scandal, or health-related withdrawal could still alter the outcome before November 3, 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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