Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate a high-pressure system and clear skies over the Netherlands will drive peak heating in Amsterdam on August 13, supporting market-implied odds favoring 33°C (49.5%) and 32°C (22.0%). Ensemble guidance shows minimal cloud cover and light winds enhancing daytime temperatures, with some runs reaching 34°C amid continental air advection, though most cluster near the 32–33°C range. This aligns with seasonal patterns for mid-August warm spells while reflecting current model consensus on limited cooling influences. Updated runs tomorrow morning from major centers will provide the final observational inputs for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 13?
33°C 50%
32°C 22%
34°C 19%
31°C 5%
$10,726 Обс.
$10,726 Обс.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
22%
33°C
50%
34°C
19%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 50%
32°C 22%
34°C 19%
31°C 5%
$10,726 Обс.
$10,726 Обс.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
22%
33°C
50%
34°C
19%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate a high-pressure system and clear skies over the Netherlands will drive peak heating in Amsterdam on August 13, supporting market-implied odds favoring 33°C (49.5%) and 32°C (22.0%). Ensemble guidance shows minimal cloud cover and light winds enhancing daytime temperatures, with some runs reaching 34°C amid continental air advection, though most cluster near the 32–33°C range. This aligns with seasonal patterns for mid-August warm spells while reflecting current model consensus on limited cooling influences. Updated runs tomorrow morning from major centers will provide the final observational inputs for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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