Recent forecast model consensus from meteorological agencies indicates a daytime high of 14–16°C for Buenos Aires on August 15, 2026, amid typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions with light easterly winds, patchy clouds, and possible brief showers. This data anchors trader sentiment, producing a 55.5% implied probability for exactly 16°C as the leading outcome, followed by 21.5% for 15°C and 19.0% for 17°C. Minor uncertainties in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain the spread across these three bins, while historical August averages near 15–17°C provide climatological context without shifting current odds. Updated model runs or official observations near resolution time could refine these probabilities further.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 15?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 15?
16°C 56%
15°C 22%
17°C 19%
14°C 4%
НОВЕ
$13,871 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,871 Обс.
Aug 15, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
22%
16°C
56%
17°C
19%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 56%
15°C 22%
17°C 19%
14°C 4%
НОВЕ
$13,871 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,871 Обс.
Aug 15, 2026
12°C or below
$193 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$850 Обс.
1%
14°C
$562 Обс.
4%
15°C
$2,027 Обс.
22%
16°C
$7,157 Обс.
56%
17°C
$701 Обс.
19%
18°C
$1,454 Обс.
3%
19°C
$224 Обс.
1%
20°C
$337 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$177 Обс.
<1%
22°C or higher
$189 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from meteorological agencies indicates a daytime high of 14–16°C for Buenos Aires on August 15, 2026, amid typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions with light easterly winds, patchy clouds, and possible brief showers. This data anchors trader sentiment, producing a 55.5% implied probability for exactly 16°C as the leading outcome, followed by 21.5% for 15°C and 19.0% for 17°C. Minor uncertainties in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain the spread across these three bins, while historical August averages near 15–17°C provide climatological context without shifting current odds. Updated model runs or official observations near resolution time could refine these probabilities further.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Обсяг
$13,871Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from meteorological agencies indicates a daytime high of 14–16°C for Buenos Aires on August 15, 2026, amid typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions with light easterly winds, patchy clouds, and possible brief showers. This data anchors trader sentiment, producing a 55.5% implied probability for exactly 16°C as the leading outcome, followed by 21.5% for 15°C and 19.0% for 17°C. Minor uncertainties in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain the spread across these three bins, while historical August averages near 15–17°C provide climatological context without shifting current odds. Updated model runs or official observations near resolution time could refine these probabilities further.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$13,871Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from meteorological agencies indicates a daytime high of 14–16°C for Buenos Aires on August 15, 2026, amid typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions with light easterly winds, patchy clouds, and possible brief showers. This data anchors trader sentiment, producing a 55.5% implied probability for exactly 16°C as the leading outcome, followed by 21.5% for 15°C and 19.0% for 17°C. Minor uncertainties in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain the spread across these three bins, while historical August averages near 15–17°C provide climatological context without shifting current odds. Updated model runs or official observations near resolution time could refine these probabilities further.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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