Current forecasts from meteorological agencies, including the Met Office and South African weather services, indicate a maximum of 18°C in Cape Town on August 14 under fine to partly cloudy winter conditions with light winds. This aligns closely with the market's leading 18°C outcome at 46% implied probability, followed by 19°C and 17°C. Typical August highs average near 17°C, and recent model runs show limited deviation due to stable high-pressure influence over the Western Cape, with minimal risk of warmer advection or cold fronts altering temperatures significantly before resolution. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will confirm the final reading used for settlement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 14?
18°C 46%
19°C 21%
17°C 20%
16°C 4%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
20%
18°C
46%
19°C
21%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 46%
19°C 21%
17°C 20%
16°C 4%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
20%
18°C
46%
19°C
21%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies, including the Met Office and South African weather services, indicate a maximum of 18°C in Cape Town on August 14 under fine to partly cloudy winter conditions with light winds. This aligns closely with the market's leading 18°C outcome at 46% implied probability, followed by 19°C and 17°C. Typical August highs average near 17°C, and recent model runs show limited deviation due to stable high-pressure influence over the Western Cape, with minimal risk of warmer advection or cold fronts altering temperatures significantly before resolution. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will confirm the final reading used for settlement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання