Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a daytime maximum near 34°C in urban areas under sunny intervals and isolated showers on August 13, following Tropical Cyclone Dolphin's recent passage and subsequent subsidence that moderated extremes relative to earlier 36.9°C readings. Midsummer climatology favors highs of 31–33°C, but urban heat-island effects, localized wind patterns, and model consensus on limited cloud cover support the near-even split between 33°C and 34°C market-implied odds. Afternoon convection or slight steering shifts could cap the peak below forecast thresholds, while clearer skies would push toward the upper end; probabilities for 35°C or higher stay minimal absent renewed clear-sky intensification.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
33°C 95%
34°C 5%
35°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$83,476 Обс.
$83,476 Обс.
Aug 13, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
95%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 95%
34°C 5%
35°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$83,476 Обс.
$83,476 Обс.
Aug 13, 2026
27°C or below
$413 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$949 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$1,024 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$3,774 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$11,295 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$16,672 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$17,677 Обс.
95%
34°C
$13,542 Обс.
5%
35°C
$11,735 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$3,992 Обс.
<1%
37°C or higher
$2,404 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a daytime maximum near 34°C in urban areas under sunny intervals and isolated showers on August 13, following Tropical Cyclone Dolphin's recent passage and subsequent subsidence that moderated extremes relative to earlier 36.9°C readings. Midsummer climatology favors highs of 31–33°C, but urban heat-island effects, localized wind patterns, and model consensus on limited cloud cover support the near-even split between 33°C and 34°C market-implied odds. Afternoon convection or slight steering shifts could cap the peak below forecast thresholds, while clearer skies would push toward the upper end; probabilities for 35°C or higher stay minimal absent renewed clear-sky intensification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$83,476Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a daytime maximum near 34°C in urban areas under sunny intervals and isolated showers on August 13, following Tropical Cyclone Dolphin's recent passage and subsequent subsidence that moderated extremes relative to earlier 36.9°C readings. Midsummer climatology favors highs of 31–33°C, but urban heat-island effects, localized wind patterns, and model consensus on limited cloud cover support the near-even split between 33°C and 34°C market-implied odds. Afternoon convection or slight steering shifts could cap the peak below forecast thresholds, while clearer skies would push toward the upper end; probabilities for 35°C or higher stay minimal absent renewed clear-sky intensification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$83,476Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a daytime maximum near 34°C in urban areas under sunny intervals and isolated showers on August 13, following Tropical Cyclone Dolphin's recent passage and subsequent subsidence that moderated extremes relative to earlier 36.9°C readings. Midsummer climatology favors highs of 31–33°C, but urban heat-island effects, localized wind patterns, and model consensus on limited cloud cover support the near-even split between 33°C and 34°C market-implied odds. Afternoon convection or slight steering shifts could cap the peak below forecast thresholds, while clearer skies would push toward the upper end; probabilities for 35°C or higher stay minimal absent renewed clear-sky intensification.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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