Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a daily maximum near 34°C for August 13 amid sunny intervals and isolated showers, following Tropical Cyclone Dolphin's warm-air advection that produced record 36.9°C readings earlier in the week. Post-storm subsidence and added moisture have moderated peaks relative to typical August climatology of 32–33°C, with urban heat-island effects supporting trader weighting toward 33–34°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 99%. Numerical model consensus aligns on these thresholds, while 35°C or higher carries low odds absent renewed clear-sky intensification. Resolution hinges on the Observatory headquarters reading, with recent very hot weather warnings and seasonal above-normal temperature trends providing context for the narrow forecast range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
33°C 72%
34°C 27%
35°C 1.0%
36°C <1%
$74,730 Обс.
$74,730 Обс.
Aug 13, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
72%
34°C
27%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 72%
34°C 27%
35°C 1.0%
36°C <1%
$74,730 Обс.
$74,730 Обс.
Aug 13, 2026
27°C or below
$413 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$949 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$1,024 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$3,774 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$11,295 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$16,592 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$12,824 Обс.
72%
34°C
$11,418 Обс.
27%
35°C
$10,765 Обс.
1%
36°C
$3,380 Обс.
<1%
37°C or higher
$2,296 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a daily maximum near 34°C for August 13 amid sunny intervals and isolated showers, following Tropical Cyclone Dolphin's warm-air advection that produced record 36.9°C readings earlier in the week. Post-storm subsidence and added moisture have moderated peaks relative to typical August climatology of 32–33°C, with urban heat-island effects supporting trader weighting toward 33–34°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 99%. Numerical model consensus aligns on these thresholds, while 35°C or higher carries low odds absent renewed clear-sky intensification. Resolution hinges on the Observatory headquarters reading, with recent very hot weather warnings and seasonal above-normal temperature trends providing context for the narrow forecast range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$74,730Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a daily maximum near 34°C for August 13 amid sunny intervals and isolated showers, following Tropical Cyclone Dolphin's warm-air advection that produced record 36.9°C readings earlier in the week. Post-storm subsidence and added moisture have moderated peaks relative to typical August climatology of 32–33°C, with urban heat-island effects supporting trader weighting toward 33–34°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 99%. Numerical model consensus aligns on these thresholds, while 35°C or higher carries low odds absent renewed clear-sky intensification. Resolution hinges on the Observatory headquarters reading, with recent very hot weather warnings and seasonal above-normal temperature trends providing context for the narrow forecast range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$74,730Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a daily maximum near 34°C for August 13 amid sunny intervals and isolated showers, following Tropical Cyclone Dolphin's warm-air advection that produced record 36.9°C readings earlier in the week. Post-storm subsidence and added moisture have moderated peaks relative to typical August climatology of 32–33°C, with urban heat-island effects supporting trader weighting toward 33–34°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 99%. Numerical model consensus aligns on these thresholds, while 35°C or higher carries low odds absent renewed clear-sky intensification. Resolution hinges on the Observatory headquarters reading, with recent very hot weather warnings and seasonal above-normal temperature trends providing context for the narrow forecast range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання