Official forecasts from meteorological agencies project maximum temperatures in Jinan on August 14 reaching the low 30s Celsius, consistent with midsummer climatology in Shandong province where August highs typically average near 30°C. This consensus across models, combined with recent regional patterns of sustained warmth and no incoming cold fronts, underpins the market's 98% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Traders' skin-in-the-game assessment draws on historical baselines and short-range guidance showing low uncertainty for exceeding that threshold. A major forecast revision or unseasonal atmospheric shift could theoretically alter outcomes, though current data indicate minimal likelihood before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Jinan on August 14?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 14?
26°C or higher 89%
25°C 2%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
89%
26°C or higher 89%
25°C 2%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
16°C or below
$209 Обс.
1%
17°C
$319 Обс.
1%
18°C
$299 Обс.
1%
19°C
$709 Обс.
1%
20°C
$252 Обс.
1%
21°C
$252 Обс.
1%
22°C
$252 Обс.
1%
23°C
$252 Обс.
1%
24°C
$257 Обс.
1%
25°C
$67 Обс.
2%
26°C or higher
$550 Обс.
89%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from meteorological agencies project maximum temperatures in Jinan on August 14 reaching the low 30s Celsius, consistent with midsummer climatology in Shandong province where August highs typically average near 30°C. This consensus across models, combined with recent regional patterns of sustained warmth and no incoming cold fronts, underpins the market's 98% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Traders' skin-in-the-game assessment draws on historical baselines and short-range guidance showing low uncertainty for exceeding that threshold. A major forecast revision or unseasonal atmospheric shift could theoretically alter outcomes, though current data indicate minimal likelihood before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,418Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from meteorological agencies project maximum temperatures in Jinan on August 14 reaching the low 30s Celsius, consistent with midsummer climatology in Shandong province where August highs typically average near 30°C. This consensus across models, combined with recent regional patterns of sustained warmth and no incoming cold fronts, underpins the market's 98% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Traders' skin-in-the-game assessment draws on historical baselines and short-range guidance showing low uncertainty for exceeding that threshold. A major forecast revision or unseasonal atmospheric shift could theoretically alter outcomes, though current data indicate minimal likelihood before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,418Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from meteorological agencies project maximum temperatures in Jinan on August 14 reaching the low 30s Celsius, consistent with midsummer climatology in Shandong province where August highs typically average near 30°C. This consensus across models, combined with recent regional patterns of sustained warmth and no incoming cold fronts, underpins the market's 98% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Traders' skin-in-the-game assessment draws on historical baselines and short-range guidance showing low uncertainty for exceeding that threshold. A major forecast revision or unseasonal atmospheric shift could theoretically alter outcomes, though current data indicate minimal likelihood before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання