Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance show consensus for a daily maximum of 76-77°F in downtown Los Angeles on August 14, driven by moderate onshore flow and a shallow marine layer that limits daytime heating along the coast. This places the outcome well below typical mid-August climatology near 82°F, reflecting persistent northwest winds and stratus that have kept coastal temperatures suppressed through the past week. Ensemble spreads remain narrow but acknowledge small upside risk if the marine layer thins earlier than expected. Traders have aligned with this forecast consensus, assigning over 88% combined probability to the 74-77°F range while discounting higher outcomes that would require stronger offshore flow or clear skies. Updated guidance is expected from the National Weather Service this evening ahead of the resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 14?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 14?
76-77°F 56%
74-75°F 32%
78-79°F 9%
72-73°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
32%
76-77°F
56%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 56%
74-75°F 32%
78-79°F 9%
72-73°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
65°F or below
$146 Обс.
1%
66-67°F
$134 Обс.
<1%
68-69°F
$166 Обс.
1%
70-71°F
$392 Обс.
4%
72-73°F
$617 Обс.
6%
74-75°F
$471 Обс.
32%
76-77°F
$1,988 Обс.
56%
78-79°F
$462 Обс.
9%
80-81°F
$220 Обс.
1%
82-83°F
$130 Обс.
<1%
84°F or higher
$176 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance show consensus for a daily maximum of 76-77°F in downtown Los Angeles on August 14, driven by moderate onshore flow and a shallow marine layer that limits daytime heating along the coast. This places the outcome well below typical mid-August climatology near 82°F, reflecting persistent northwest winds and stratus that have kept coastal temperatures suppressed through the past week. Ensemble spreads remain narrow but acknowledge small upside risk if the marine layer thins earlier than expected. Traders have aligned with this forecast consensus, assigning over 88% combined probability to the 74-77°F range while discounting higher outcomes that would require stronger offshore flow or clear skies. Updated guidance is expected from the National Weather Service this evening ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$4,903Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance show consensus for a daily maximum of 76-77°F in downtown Los Angeles on August 14, driven by moderate onshore flow and a shallow marine layer that limits daytime heating along the coast. This places the outcome well below typical mid-August climatology near 82°F, reflecting persistent northwest winds and stratus that have kept coastal temperatures suppressed through the past week. Ensemble spreads remain narrow but acknowledge small upside risk if the marine layer thins earlier than expected. Traders have aligned with this forecast consensus, assigning over 88% combined probability to the 74-77°F range while discounting higher outcomes that would require stronger offshore flow or clear skies. Updated guidance is expected from the National Weather Service this evening ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,903Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance show consensus for a daily maximum of 76-77°F in downtown Los Angeles on August 14, driven by moderate onshore flow and a shallow marine layer that limits daytime heating along the coast. This places the outcome well below typical mid-August climatology near 82°F, reflecting persistent northwest winds and stratus that have kept coastal temperatures suppressed through the past week. Ensemble spreads remain narrow but acknowledge small upside risk if the marine layer thins earlier than expected. Traders have aligned with this forecast consensus, assigning over 88% combined probability to the 74-77°F range while discounting higher outcomes that would require stronger offshore flow or clear skies. Updated guidance is expected from the National Weather Service this evening ahead of the resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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