Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Los Angeles on August 23 indicate a high in the low to mid-90s under onshore flow and morning marine layer influence, supporting the 97.5% market-implied probability for a peak of 91°F or below. Recent model consensus and observed August 2026 conditions, with daily highs generally 80–90°F amid typical summer coastal cooling, reinforce this positioning against the 94°F historical record for the date. Scenarios that could shift odds include rapid marine layer erosion or stronger offshore winds, though such changes appear unlikely within the final 24-hour window before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 23?
91°F or below 99%
92-93°F 2%
94-95°F 2%
96-97°F 2%
91°F or below
99%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
2%
110°F or higher
2%
91°F or below 99%
92-93°F 2%
94-95°F 2%
96-97°F 2%
91°F or below
99%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
2%
110°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Los Angeles on August 23 indicate a high in the low to mid-90s under onshore flow and morning marine layer influence, supporting the 97.5% market-implied probability for a peak of 91°F or below. Recent model consensus and observed August 2026 conditions, with daily highs generally 80–90°F amid typical summer coastal cooling, reinforce this positioning against the 94°F historical record for the date. Scenarios that could shift odds include rapid marine layer erosion or stronger offshore winds, though such changes appear unlikely within the final 24-hour window before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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