Recent polar air advection behind a cold front, combined with clear skies and light winds favoring nocturnal radiative cooling, drives the tight contest between subzero and milder minima in Buenos Aires forecasts for August 23. Ensemble spreads in models such as GFS and ECMWF highlight uncertainty in the depth and timing of southerly flow, surface dew points near or below freezing, and high-pressure subsidence that can either amplify or moderate overnight drops from daytime highs near 12–13 °C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and recent observations show minima clustering around 4–6 °C, yet trader-implied odds reflect dispersion in short-range guidance and historical analogs of rapid polar intrusions. Updated model runs and the next SMN briefing will likely narrow resolution criteria tied to the precise 24-hour minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 23?
8°C or higher 82%
-2°C or below 41%
7°C 41%
2°C 30%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
-2°C or below
41%
-1°C
23%
0°C
28%
1°C
28%
2°C
30%
3°C
26%
4°C
26%
5°C
23%
6°C
22%
7°C
41%
8°C or higher
82%
8°C or higher 82%
-2°C or below 41%
7°C 41%
2°C 30%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
-2°C or below
$0 Обс.
41%
-1°C
$0 Обс.
23%
0°C
$0 Обс.
28%
1°C
$0 Обс.
28%
2°C
$0 Обс.
30%
3°C
$0 Обс.
26%
4°C
$0 Обс.
26%
5°C
$0 Обс.
23%
6°C
$0 Обс.
22%
7°C
$20 Обс.
41%
8°C or higher
$15 Обс.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent polar air advection behind a cold front, combined with clear skies and light winds favoring nocturnal radiative cooling, drives the tight contest between subzero and milder minima in Buenos Aires forecasts for August 23. Ensemble spreads in models such as GFS and ECMWF highlight uncertainty in the depth and timing of southerly flow, surface dew points near or below freezing, and high-pressure subsidence that can either amplify or moderate overnight drops from daytime highs near 12–13 °C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and recent observations show minima clustering around 4–6 °C, yet trader-implied odds reflect dispersion in short-range guidance and historical analogs of rapid polar intrusions. Updated model runs and the next SMN briefing will likely narrow resolution criteria tied to the precise 24-hour minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$35Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent polar air advection behind a cold front, combined with clear skies and light winds favoring nocturnal radiative cooling, drives the tight contest between subzero and milder minima in Buenos Aires forecasts for August 23. Ensemble spreads in models such as GFS and ECMWF highlight uncertainty in the depth and timing of southerly flow, surface dew points near or below freezing, and high-pressure subsidence that can either amplify or moderate overnight drops from daytime highs near 12–13 °C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and recent observations show minima clustering around 4–6 °C, yet trader-implied odds reflect dispersion in short-range guidance and historical analogs of rapid polar intrusions. Updated model runs and the next SMN briefing will likely narrow resolution criteria tied to the precise 24-hour minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$35Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polar air advection behind a cold front, combined with clear skies and light winds favoring nocturnal radiative cooling, drives the tight contest between subzero and milder minima in Buenos Aires forecasts for August 23. Ensemble spreads in models such as GFS and ECMWF highlight uncertainty in the depth and timing of southerly flow, surface dew points near or below freezing, and high-pressure subsidence that can either amplify or moderate overnight drops from daytime highs near 12–13 °C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and recent observations show minima clustering around 4–6 °C, yet trader-implied odds reflect dispersion in short-range guidance and historical analogs of rapid polar intrusions. Updated model runs and the next SMN briefing will likely narrow resolution criteria tied to the precise 24-hour minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання