Current forecast consensus from major models points to a maximum of 11–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the South Atlantic. This setup suppresses typical August warming, keeping highs below the seasonal mean of 15–17°C while limiting diurnal range through increased cloud cover and moderate winds. Latest model runs show tight clustering around these values with minimal spread, though minor northward shifts in the frontal boundary could allow a brief uptick toward 14°C. Traders have priced 13°C as the modal outcome at 46% implied probability, reflecting the narrow window before any last-minute adjustments from updated guidance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 23?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 23?
13°C 46%
12°C 28%
14°C 18%
11°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
8%
12°C
28%
13°C
46%
14°C
18%
15°C
4%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 46%
12°C 28%
14°C 18%
11°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
8°C or below
$89 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$214 Обс.
1%
10°C
$55 Обс.
2%
11°C
$42 Обс.
8%
12°C
$442 Обс.
28%
13°C
$129 Обс.
46%
14°C
$75 Обс.
18%
15°C
$40 Обс.
4%
16°C
$98 Обс.
2%
17°C
$20 Обс.
1%
18°C or higher
$105 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from major models points to a maximum of 11–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the South Atlantic. This setup suppresses typical August warming, keeping highs below the seasonal mean of 15–17°C while limiting diurnal range through increased cloud cover and moderate winds. Latest model runs show tight clustering around these values with minimal spread, though minor northward shifts in the frontal boundary could allow a brief uptick toward 14°C. Traders have priced 13°C as the modal outcome at 46% implied probability, reflecting the narrow window before any last-minute adjustments from updated guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,307Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from major models points to a maximum of 11–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the South Atlantic. This setup suppresses typical August warming, keeping highs below the seasonal mean of 15–17°C while limiting diurnal range through increased cloud cover and moderate winds. Latest model runs show tight clustering around these values with minimal spread, though minor northward shifts in the frontal boundary could allow a brief uptick toward 14°C. Traders have priced 13°C as the modal outcome at 46% implied probability, reflecting the narrow window before any last-minute adjustments from updated guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,307Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from major models points to a maximum of 11–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow advecting cooler maritime air from the South Atlantic. This setup suppresses typical August warming, keeping highs below the seasonal mean of 15–17°C while limiting diurnal range through increased cloud cover and moderate winds. Latest model runs show tight clustering around these values with minimal spread, though minor northward shifts in the frontal boundary could allow a brief uptick toward 14°C. Traders have priced 13°C as the modal outcome at 46% implied probability, reflecting the narrow window before any last-minute adjustments from updated guidance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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