Recent forecast model consensus from regional and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24 near 5–7°C, keeping the closely matched market probabilities for 4°C, 6°C, and 8°C or higher clustered tightly. Clear skies overnight combined with light winds favor enhanced radiational cooling under a post-frontal high-pressure ridge, while modest cold-air advection from the south supports readings several degrees below seasonal normals of 8–10°C. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, but small variations in boundary-layer moisture or timing of the minimum could shift the outcome by 1–2°C, consistent with the market’s even distribution across those central bins and the low odds assigned to sub-2°C extremes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24?
8°C or higher 68%
6°C 33%
4°C 31%
3°C 29%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
-2°C or below
7%
-1°C
18%
0°C
25%
1°C
24%
2°C
28%
3°C
29%
4°C
31%
5°C
23%
6°C
33%
7°C
2%
8°C or higher
68%
8°C or higher 68%
6°C 33%
4°C 31%
3°C 29%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
-2°C or below
$880 Обс.
7%
-1°C
$12 Обс.
18%
0°C
$0 Обс.
25%
1°C
$0 Обс.
24%
2°C
$0 Обс.
28%
3°C
$0 Обс.
29%
4°C
$0 Обс.
31%
5°C
$7 Обс.
23%
6°C
$0 Обс.
33%
7°C
$15 Обс.
2%
8°C or higher
$85 Обс.
68%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from regional and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24 near 5–7°C, keeping the closely matched market probabilities for 4°C, 6°C, and 8°C or higher clustered tightly. Clear skies overnight combined with light winds favor enhanced radiational cooling under a post-frontal high-pressure ridge, while modest cold-air advection from the south supports readings several degrees below seasonal normals of 8–10°C. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, but small variations in boundary-layer moisture or timing of the minimum could shift the outcome by 1–2°C, consistent with the market’s even distribution across those central bins and the low odds assigned to sub-2°C extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$999Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from regional and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24 near 5–7°C, keeping the closely matched market probabilities for 4°C, 6°C, and 8°C or higher clustered tightly. Clear skies overnight combined with light winds favor enhanced radiational cooling under a post-frontal high-pressure ridge, while modest cold-air advection from the south supports readings several degrees below seasonal normals of 8–10°C. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, but small variations in boundary-layer moisture or timing of the minimum could shift the outcome by 1–2°C, consistent with the market’s even distribution across those central bins and the low odds assigned to sub-2°C extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$999Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from regional and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on August 24 near 5–7°C, keeping the closely matched market probabilities for 4°C, 6°C, and 8°C or higher clustered tightly. Clear skies overnight combined with light winds favor enhanced radiational cooling under a post-frontal high-pressure ridge, while modest cold-air advection from the south supports readings several degrees below seasonal normals of 8–10°C. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the event, but small variations in boundary-layer moisture or timing of the minimum could shift the outcome by 1–2°C, consistent with the market’s even distribution across those central bins and the low odds assigned to sub-2°C extremes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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