Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's minimum temperature on September 2 will likely fall between 11–13°C, driven by moderate southerly winds, high pressure, and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling over the Atlantic-influenced coastal plain. This aligns with early-spring climatology, where average lows hover near 10–12°C amid transitioning synoptic patterns without strong cold fronts or clear-sky extremes. Traders appear to balance outcomes around 8–11°C due to typical forecast spread in dew-point and boundary-layer details, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers like 13°C+ or sub-7°C readings that would require atypical advection or enhanced cooling. Updated model runs and local observations tonight will refine resolution thresholds for this time-sensitive market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 2?
8°C 100%
9°C 100%
10°C 100%
11°C 100%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
6°C or below
98%
7°C
95%
8°C
100%
9°C
100%
10°C
100%
11°C
100%
12°C
92%
13°C
36%
14°C
100%
15°C
100%
16°C or higher
98%
8°C 100%
9°C 100%
10°C 100%
11°C 100%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
6°C or below
$5 Обс.
98%
7°C
$0 Обс.
95%
8°C
$0 Обс.
100%
9°C
$0 Обс.
100%
10°C
$0 Обс.
100%
11°C
$0 Обс.
100%
12°C
$0 Обс.
92%
13°C
$15 Обс.
36%
14°C
$5 Обс.
100%
15°C
$5 Обс.
100%
16°C or higher
$5 Обс.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's minimum temperature on September 2 will likely fall between 11–13°C, driven by moderate southerly winds, high pressure, and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling over the Atlantic-influenced coastal plain. This aligns with early-spring climatology, where average lows hover near 10–12°C amid transitioning synoptic patterns without strong cold fronts or clear-sky extremes. Traders appear to balance outcomes around 8–11°C due to typical forecast spread in dew-point and boundary-layer details, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers like 13°C+ or sub-7°C readings that would require atypical advection or enhanced cooling. Updated model runs and local observations tonight will refine resolution thresholds for this time-sensitive market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Обсяг
$35Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's minimum temperature on September 2 will likely fall between 11–13°C, driven by moderate southerly winds, high pressure, and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling over the Atlantic-influenced coastal plain. This aligns with early-spring climatology, where average lows hover near 10–12°C amid transitioning synoptic patterns without strong cold fronts or clear-sky extremes. Traders appear to balance outcomes around 8–11°C due to typical forecast spread in dew-point and boundary-layer details, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers like 13°C+ or sub-7°C readings that would require atypical advection or enhanced cooling. Updated model runs and local observations tonight will refine resolution thresholds for this time-sensitive market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$35Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town's minimum temperature on September 2 will likely fall between 11–13°C, driven by moderate southerly winds, high pressure, and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling over the Atlantic-influenced coastal plain. This aligns with early-spring climatology, where average lows hover near 10–12°C amid transitioning synoptic patterns without strong cold fronts or clear-sky extremes. Traders appear to balance outcomes around 8–11°C due to typical forecast spread in dew-point and boundary-layer details, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers like 13°C+ or sub-7°C readings that would require atypical advection or enhanced cooling. Updated model runs and local observations tonight will refine resolution thresholds for this time-sensitive market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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