Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a northwest flow advecting cooler Canadian air into the Chicago area behind a weak frontal passage, producing the primary downward pressure on overnight lows for August 23. Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight will enhance radiative cooling, while sustained northerly winds limit boundary-layer mixing and keep minimum temperatures several degrees below the 64°F August climatological normal. Ensemble spreads from the GFS and ECMWF show 2-meter temperatures bottoming between 58°F and 62°F at official observation sites, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 58–61°F bins and the modest tail risk priced for sub-55°F readings if skies clear earlier than expected.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chicago on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on August 23?
60-61°F 41%
58-59°F 37%
52-53°F 24%
62-63°F 24%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
51°F or below
20%
52-53°F
24%
54-55°F
23%
56-57°F
22%
58-59°F
37%
60-61°F
41%
62-63°F
24%
64-65°F
23%
66-67°F
23%
68-69°F
22%
70°F or higher
5%
60-61°F 41%
58-59°F 37%
52-53°F 24%
62-63°F 24%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
51°F or below
$0 Обс.
20%
52-53°F
$0 Обс.
24%
54-55°F
$0 Обс.
23%
56-57°F
$0 Обс.
22%
58-59°F
$0 Обс.
37%
60-61°F
$0 Обс.
41%
62-63°F
$0 Обс.
24%
64-65°F
$0 Обс.
23%
66-67°F
$0 Обс.
23%
68-69°F
$5 Обс.
22%
70°F or higher
$10 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a northwest flow advecting cooler Canadian air into the Chicago area behind a weak frontal passage, producing the primary downward pressure on overnight lows for August 23. Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight will enhance radiative cooling, while sustained northerly winds limit boundary-layer mixing and keep minimum temperatures several degrees below the 64°F August climatological normal. Ensemble spreads from the GFS and ECMWF show 2-meter temperatures bottoming between 58°F and 62°F at official observation sites, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 58–61°F bins and the modest tail risk priced for sub-55°F readings if skies clear earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$15Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a northwest flow advecting cooler Canadian air into the Chicago area behind a weak frontal passage, producing the primary downward pressure on overnight lows for August 23. Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight will enhance radiative cooling, while sustained northerly winds limit boundary-layer mixing and keep minimum temperatures several degrees below the 64°F August climatological normal. Ensemble spreads from the GFS and ECMWF show 2-meter temperatures bottoming between 58°F and 62°F at official observation sites, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 58–61°F bins and the modest tail risk priced for sub-55°F readings if skies clear earlier than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$15Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a northwest flow advecting cooler Canadian air into the Chicago area behind a weak frontal passage, producing the primary downward pressure on overnight lows for August 23. Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight will enhance radiative cooling, while sustained northerly winds limit boundary-layer mixing and keep minimum temperatures several degrees below the 64°F August climatological normal. Ensemble spreads from the GFS and ECMWF show 2-meter temperatures bottoming between 58°F and 62°F at official observation sites, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 58–61°F bins and the modest tail risk priced for sub-55°F readings if skies clear earlier than expected.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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