**Persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall from a shear line and low-level jet are keeping overnight temperatures in Chongqing tightly clustered around 20–21°C for September 21.** Official forecasts from sources such as WeatherBug, Worldmeteo, and local meteorological services show the minimum hovering between roughly 19.9°C and 21°C, with light to moderate rain and high humidity (near 90%) limiting radiative cooling. Model consensus indicates minimal diurnal range under these conditions, producing the narrow spread reflected in market-implied odds (21°C at 51%, 20°C at 49%). Slight differences among runs hinge on exact timing of heaviest precipitation and wind shifts, which can alter the low by 1–2°C. Traders are pricing genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a strong directional signal, consistent with typical variability in autumnal frontal systems over the Sichuan Basin. Updated model guidance and official 24-hour forecasts will likely drive the next adjustments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 21?
19°C 96%
18°C 95%
17°C 94%
16°C or below 90%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
16°C or below
90%
17°C
94%
18°C
95%
19°C
96%
20°C
49%
21°C
51%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
19°C 96%
18°C 95%
17°C 94%
16°C or below 90%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Обс.
90%
17°C
$0 Обс.
94%
18°C
$0 Обс.
95%
19°C
$0 Обс.
96%
20°C
$0 Обс.
49%
21°C
$35 Обс.
51%
22°C
$46 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$31 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$36 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$31 Обс.
<1%
26°C or higher
$31 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall from a shear line and low-level jet are keeping overnight temperatures in Chongqing tightly clustered around 20–21°C for September 21.** Official forecasts from sources such as WeatherBug, Worldmeteo, and local meteorological services show the minimum hovering between roughly 19.9°C and 21°C, with light to moderate rain and high humidity (near 90%) limiting radiative cooling. Model consensus indicates minimal diurnal range under these conditions, producing the narrow spread reflected in market-implied odds (21°C at 51%, 20°C at 49%). Slight differences among runs hinge on exact timing of heaviest precipitation and wind shifts, which can alter the low by 1–2°C. Traders are pricing genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a strong directional signal, consistent with typical variability in autumnal frontal systems over the Sichuan Basin. Updated model guidance and official 24-hour forecasts will likely drive the next adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$210Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall from a shear line and low-level jet are keeping overnight temperatures in Chongqing tightly clustered around 20–21°C for September 21.** Official forecasts from sources such as WeatherBug, Worldmeteo, and local meteorological services show the minimum hovering between roughly 19.9°C and 21°C, with light to moderate rain and high humidity (near 90%) limiting radiative cooling. Model consensus indicates minimal diurnal range under these conditions, producing the narrow spread reflected in market-implied odds (21°C at 51%, 20°C at 49%). Slight differences among runs hinge on exact timing of heaviest precipitation and wind shifts, which can alter the low by 1–2°C. Traders are pricing genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a strong directional signal, consistent with typical variability in autumnal frontal systems over the Sichuan Basin. Updated model guidance and official 24-hour forecasts will likely drive the next adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$210Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall from a shear line and low-level jet are keeping overnight temperatures in Chongqing tightly clustered around 20–21°C for September 21.** Official forecasts from sources such as WeatherBug, Worldmeteo, and local meteorological services show the minimum hovering between roughly 19.9°C and 21°C, with light to moderate rain and high humidity (near 90%) limiting radiative cooling. Model consensus indicates minimal diurnal range under these conditions, producing the narrow spread reflected in market-implied odds (21°C at 51%, 20°C at 49%). Slight differences among runs hinge on exact timing of heaviest precipitation and wind shifts, which can alter the low by 1–2°C. Traders are pricing genuine forecast uncertainty rather than a strong directional signal, consistent with typical variability in autumnal frontal systems over the Sichuan Basin. Updated model guidance and official 24-hour forecasts will likely drive the next adjustments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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