Recent forecasts from multiple models show persistent cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and a moderating influence from an approaching weather system over southern China, keeping Guangzhou's overnight minimums in the mid-20s°C range for August 24. This aligns with historical climatology, where average lows hover near 25.3°C and all-time records bottom out at 21.1°C, but increased precipitation and reduced solar heating raise the chance of cooler readings than seasonal norms. Trader consensus, reflected in the 47.5% implied probability for 20°C or below, appears driven by uncertainty around model spread and potential for stronger cooling from rain-cooled air masses, while probabilities cluster around 26–27°C outcomes at roughly 26–28.5% each. Upcoming National Meteorological Center updates and refined model runs will likely clarify whether conditions trend toward the lower end of historical variability.