Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature in the 26–28°C range for Guangzhou on August 23, 2026, amid widespread thunderstorms and elevated humidity that limit daytime heating and promote overnight cooling. This setup, influenced by subtropical moisture and possible peripheral effects from regional tropical systems, supports the market's leading 46.5% implied probability on 22°C or below as traders price in downside risks from heavier rainfall or model shifts. Historical August lows average near 25°C, with extremes below 23°C rare but tied to similar convective patterns; upcoming model runs and CMA updates over the next 48 hours will likely drive any further adjustments in these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 23?
22°C or below 87%
30°C 51%
32°C or higher 51%
23°C 46%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
22°C or below
87%
23°C
46%
24°C
24%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
30%
28°C
28%
29°C
26%
30°C
51%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
51%
22°C or below 87%
30°C 51%
32°C or higher 51%
23°C 46%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Обс.
87%
23°C
$5 Обс.
46%
24°C
$0 Обс.
24%
25°C
$0 Обс.
26%
26°C
$0 Обс.
27%
27°C
$4 Обс.
30%
28°C
$0 Обс.
28%
29°C
$0 Обс.
26%
30°C
$5 Обс.
51%
31°C
$5 Обс.
2%
32°C or higher
$5 Обс.
51%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature in the 26–28°C range for Guangzhou on August 23, 2026, amid widespread thunderstorms and elevated humidity that limit daytime heating and promote overnight cooling. This setup, influenced by subtropical moisture and possible peripheral effects from regional tropical systems, supports the market's leading 46.5% implied probability on 22°C or below as traders price in downside risks from heavier rainfall or model shifts. Historical August lows average near 25°C, with extremes below 23°C rare but tied to similar convective patterns; upcoming model runs and CMA updates over the next 48 hours will likely drive any further adjustments in these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$29Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature in the 26–28°C range for Guangzhou on August 23, 2026, amid widespread thunderstorms and elevated humidity that limit daytime heating and promote overnight cooling. This setup, influenced by subtropical moisture and possible peripheral effects from regional tropical systems, supports the market's leading 46.5% implied probability on 22°C or below as traders price in downside risks from heavier rainfall or model shifts. Historical August lows average near 25°C, with extremes below 23°C rare but tied to similar convective patterns; upcoming model runs and CMA updates over the next 48 hours will likely drive any further adjustments in these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$29Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a minimum temperature in the 26–28°C range for Guangzhou on August 23, 2026, amid widespread thunderstorms and elevated humidity that limit daytime heating and promote overnight cooling. This setup, influenced by subtropical moisture and possible peripheral effects from regional tropical systems, supports the market's leading 46.5% implied probability on 22°C or below as traders price in downside risks from heavier rainfall or model shifts. Historical August lows average near 25°C, with extremes below 23°C rare but tied to similar convective patterns; upcoming model runs and CMA updates over the next 48 hours will likely drive any further adjustments in these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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