Current forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate a daily low near 24°C for Guangzhou on September 12, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 24.5°C for the date. Subtropical radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by high humidity, light northerly winds, and partial cloud cover, limiting temperature drops, while any increased thunderstorm activity or frontal passage could enhance cooling through evaporative effects and reduced insolation. Model runs show limited spread around this baseline, yet the near-even market odds between extremes above 28°C or below 18°C reflect trader assessment of residual uncertainty from evolving precipitation patterns and steering influences typical in early September. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight minimum will clarify resolution thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 12?
25°C 48%
18°C or below 41%
28°C or higher 41%
20°C 39%
18°C or below
41%
19°C
13%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
21%
23°C
22%
24°C
27%
25°C
26%
26°C
17%
27°C
17%
28°C or higher
41%
25°C 48%
18°C or below 41%
28°C or higher 41%
20°C 39%
18°C or below
41%
19°C
13%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
21%
23°C
22%
24°C
27%
25°C
26%
26°C
17%
27°C
17%
28°C or higher
41%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate a daily low near 24°C for Guangzhou on September 12, consistent with the 1991–2020 climatological average of 24.5°C for the date. Subtropical radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by high humidity, light northerly winds, and partial cloud cover, limiting temperature drops, while any increased thunderstorm activity or frontal passage could enhance cooling through evaporative effects and reduced insolation. Model runs show limited spread around this baseline, yet the near-even market odds between extremes above 28°C or below 18°C reflect trader assessment of residual uncertainty from evolving precipitation patterns and steering influences typical in early September. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight minimum will clarify resolution thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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