**Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a minimum temperature of 26°C on June 18 under rainy conditions with a daily range of 26–30°C, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 26°C (40%) and 27°C (34.5%).** Persistent cloud cover and showers expected overnight will limit radiative cooling, supporting minimums near or slightly above the June climatological average of about 26–27°C. Subtle differences between 26°C and 27°C hinge on the exact timing and intensity of rainfall, which influences boundary-layer moisture and downward longwave radiation, alongside minor variations across ensemble model guidance. With resolution occurring within hours, traders are closely tracking the latest observational updates and nowcasting from the Observatory as atmospheric conditions evolve.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 18?
26°C 40%
27°C 35%
25°C 18%
24°C 3.6%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
18%
26°C
40%
27°C
35%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 40%
27°C 35%
25°C 18%
24°C 3.6%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
18%
26°C
40%
27°C
35%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory point to a minimum temperature of 26°C on June 18 under rainy conditions with a daily range of 26–30°C, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 26°C (40%) and 27°C (34.5%).** Persistent cloud cover and showers expected overnight will limit radiative cooling, supporting minimums near or slightly above the June climatological average of about 26–27°C. Subtle differences between 26°C and 27°C hinge on the exact timing and intensity of rainfall, which influences boundary-layer moisture and downward longwave radiation, alongside minor variations across ensemble model guidance. With resolution occurring within hours, traders are closely tracking the latest observational updates and nowcasting from the Observatory as atmospheric conditions evolve.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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