Ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models currently favor overnight lows of 20–22°C for Tokyo on June 19, driven by partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and moderate humidity under the influence of a subtropical high-pressure system. These conditions limit strong radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, keeping minima above the seasonal normal of ~19°C while preventing warmer advection. Small differences among leading outcomes (21°C vs. 22°C) hinge on evolving cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which can alter surface heat retention by 1–2°C; traders weigh the latest model runs showing slight cooling potential against historical mid-June variability where minima cluster tightly around this range. Updated guidance ahead of the date will likely refine probabilities as diurnal patterns stabilize.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 19?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 19?
21°C 35%
22°C 32%
19°C 17%
24°C 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 19, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
16%
19°C
17%
20°C
9%
21°C
35%
22°C
32%
23°C
8%
24°C
17%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 35%
22°C 32%
19°C 17%
24°C 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 19, 2026
16°C or below
$145 Обс.
1%
17°C
$156 Обс.
1%
18°C
$10 Обс.
16%
19°C
$10 Обс.
17%
20°C
$16 Обс.
9%
21°C
$30 Обс.
35%
22°C
$35 Обс.
32%
23°C
$0 Обс.
8%
24°C
$0 Обс.
17%
25°C
$248 Обс.
4%
26°C or higher
$44 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models currently favor overnight lows of 20–22°C for Tokyo on June 19, driven by partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and moderate humidity under the influence of a subtropical high-pressure system. These conditions limit strong radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, keeping minima above the seasonal normal of ~19°C while preventing warmer advection. Small differences among leading outcomes (21°C vs. 22°C) hinge on evolving cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which can alter surface heat retention by 1–2°C; traders weigh the latest model runs showing slight cooling potential against historical mid-June variability where minima cluster tightly around this range. Updated guidance ahead of the date will likely refine probabilities as diurnal patterns stabilize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$693Дата завершення
Jun 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models currently favor overnight lows of 20–22°C for Tokyo on June 19, driven by partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and moderate humidity under the influence of a subtropical high-pressure system. These conditions limit strong radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, keeping minima above the seasonal normal of ~19°C while preventing warmer advection. Small differences among leading outcomes (21°C vs. 22°C) hinge on evolving cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which can alter surface heat retention by 1–2°C; traders weigh the latest model runs showing slight cooling potential against historical mid-June variability where minima cluster tightly around this range. Updated guidance ahead of the date will likely refine probabilities as diurnal patterns stabilize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$693Дата завершення
Jun 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models currently favor overnight lows of 20–22°C for Tokyo on June 19, driven by partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and moderate humidity under the influence of a subtropical high-pressure system. These conditions limit strong radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, keeping minima above the seasonal normal of ~19°C while preventing warmer advection. Small differences among leading outcomes (21°C vs. 22°C) hinge on evolving cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture, which can alter surface heat retention by 1–2°C; traders weigh the latest model runs showing slight cooling potential against historical mid-June variability where minima cluster tightly around this range. Updated guidance ahead of the date will likely refine probabilities as diurnal patterns stabilize.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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