Current forecast models from major agencies indicate an overnight low in NYC on June 18 most likely between 66°F and 69°F, aligning with the market's leading outcomes near 29.5% and 26.5% implied probability. Key differentiating factors include the strength of the surface high-pressure ridge promoting radiational cooling, variable low-level moisture and dew points that limit temperature drops, and light wind speeds under 5 mph that reduce mixing. Ensemble spreads in short-range guidance reflect minor uncertainties in cloud cover and frontal timing, keeping adjacent bins like 64-65°F and 70-71°F competitively priced as traders weigh the latest model runs ahead of resolution. Historical June climatology supports typical minima near 64°F, providing context for the tight probability distribution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on June 18?
Lowest temperature in NYC on June 18?
70-71°F 22%
64-65°F 21%
68-69°F 18%
72-73°F 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 18, 2026
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
21%
66-67°F
13%
68-69°F
18%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
1%
78°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 22%
64-65°F 21%
68-69°F 18%
72-73°F 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 18, 2026
59°F or below
$5 Обс.
1%
60-61°F
$342 Обс.
1%
62-63°F
$16 Обс.
9%
64-65°F
$0 Обс.
21%
66-67°F
$11 Обс.
13%
68-69°F
$14 Обс.
18%
70-71°F
$10 Обс.
22%
72-73°F
$35 Обс.
17%
74-75°F
$23 Обс.
4%
76-77°F
$330 Обс.
1%
78°F or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from major agencies indicate an overnight low in NYC on June 18 most likely between 66°F and 69°F, aligning with the market's leading outcomes near 29.5% and 26.5% implied probability. Key differentiating factors include the strength of the surface high-pressure ridge promoting radiational cooling, variable low-level moisture and dew points that limit temperature drops, and light wind speeds under 5 mph that reduce mixing. Ensemble spreads in short-range guidance reflect minor uncertainties in cloud cover and frontal timing, keeping adjacent bins like 64-65°F and 70-71°F competitively priced as traders weigh the latest model runs ahead of resolution. Historical June climatology supports typical minima near 64°F, providing context for the tight probability distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 16, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$785Дата завершення
Jun 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 16, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from major agencies indicate an overnight low in NYC on June 18 most likely between 66°F and 69°F, aligning with the market's leading outcomes near 29.5% and 26.5% implied probability. Key differentiating factors include the strength of the surface high-pressure ridge promoting radiational cooling, variable low-level moisture and dew points that limit temperature drops, and light wind speeds under 5 mph that reduce mixing. Ensemble spreads in short-range guidance reflect minor uncertainties in cloud cover and frontal timing, keeping adjacent bins like 64-65°F and 70-71°F competitively priced as traders weigh the latest model runs ahead of resolution. Historical June climatology supports typical minima near 64°F, providing context for the tight probability distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$785Дата завершення
Jun 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 16, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from major agencies indicate an overnight low in NYC on June 18 most likely between 66°F and 69°F, aligning with the market's leading outcomes near 29.5% and 26.5% implied probability. Key differentiating factors include the strength of the surface high-pressure ridge promoting radiational cooling, variable low-level moisture and dew points that limit temperature drops, and light wind speeds under 5 mph that reduce mixing. Ensemble spreads in short-range guidance reflect minor uncertainties in cloud cover and frontal timing, keeping adjacent bins like 64-65°F and 70-71°F competitively priced as traders weigh the latest model runs ahead of resolution. Historical June climatology supports typical minima near 64°F, providing context for the tight probability distribution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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