Recent forecast guidance from NOAA and regional models points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds, positioning NYC's minimum temperature for June 17 near the mid-60s°F at LaGuardia and Central Park stations. A lingering trough and modest onshore flow have suppressed daytime heating while limiting extreme nocturnal drops, keeping the distribution of possible lows tightly clustered between roughly 62–67°F. Ensemble spreads and local variations in urban heat island effects create the tight market clustering around 64–65°F and adjacent bins, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers below 60°F or above 68°F given current stability indices and dewpoint trends. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on June 17?
Lowest temperature in NYC on June 17?
64-65°F 32%
62-63°F 26%
60-61°F 20%
66-67°F 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 17, 2026
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
17%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
32%
66-67°F
20%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
1%
72°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 32%
62-63°F 26%
60-61°F 20%
66-67°F 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 17, 2026
53°F or below
$433 Обс.
<1%
54-55°F
$499 Обс.
<1%
56-57°F
$648 Обс.
<1%
58-59°F
$232 Обс.
3%
60-61°F
$222 Обс.
17%
62-63°F
$192 Обс.
26%
64-65°F
$145 Обс.
32%
66-67°F
$72 Обс.
20%
68-69°F
$414 Обс.
3%
70-71°F
$553 Обс.
1%
72°F or higher
$122 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from NOAA and regional models points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds, positioning NYC's minimum temperature for June 17 near the mid-60s°F at LaGuardia and Central Park stations. A lingering trough and modest onshore flow have suppressed daytime heating while limiting extreme nocturnal drops, keeping the distribution of possible lows tightly clustered between roughly 62–67°F. Ensemble spreads and local variations in urban heat island effects create the tight market clustering around 64–65°F and adjacent bins, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers below 60°F or above 68°F given current stability indices and dewpoint trends. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,511Дата завершення
Jun 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from NOAA and regional models points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds, positioning NYC's minimum temperature for June 17 near the mid-60s°F at LaGuardia and Central Park stations. A lingering trough and modest onshore flow have suppressed daytime heating while limiting extreme nocturnal drops, keeping the distribution of possible lows tightly clustered between roughly 62–67°F. Ensemble spreads and local variations in urban heat island effects create the tight market clustering around 64–65°F and adjacent bins, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers below 60°F or above 68°F given current stability indices and dewpoint trends. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,511Дата завершення
Jun 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from NOAA and regional models points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds, positioning NYC's minimum temperature for June 17 near the mid-60s°F at LaGuardia and Central Park stations. A lingering trough and modest onshore flow have suppressed daytime heating while limiting extreme nocturnal drops, keeping the distribution of possible lows tightly clustered between roughly 62–67°F. Ensemble spreads and local variations in urban heat island effects create the tight market clustering around 64–65°F and adjacent bins, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers below 60°F or above 68°F given current stability indices and dewpoint trends. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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