Recent GFS and ECMWF model consensus for September 1 points to clear skies, light northeasterly winds of 4–7 m/s, and radiative cooling overnight that should produce a minimum near 19–21 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those bins. These conditions sit close to or slightly above the long-term early-September climatological low of roughly 17–19 °C for Istanbul. Key variables that will differentiate the precise low include the exact dew-point depression, the strength of the urban heat-island effect, and any last-minute changes in cloud cover or wind mixing; a modest increase in boundary-layer moisture or a slight wind shift could easily shift the outcome by 1–2 °C. The next high-resolution model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service updates over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for traders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 1?
18°C 49%
17°C 29%
20°C 27%
21°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
16°C or below
8%
17°C
29%
18°C
49%
19°C
26%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
2%
24°C
26%
25°C
8%
26°C or higher
2%
18°C 49%
17°C 29%
20°C 27%
21°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 1, 2026
16°C or below
$135 Обс.
8%
17°C
$0 Обс.
29%
18°C
$0 Обс.
49%
19°C
$0 Обс.
26%
20°C
$0 Обс.
27%
21°C
$0 Обс.
27%
22°C
$0 Обс.
27%
23°C
$0 Обс.
2%
24°C
$0 Обс.
26%
25°C
$10 Обс.
8%
26°C or higher
$247 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and ECMWF model consensus for September 1 points to clear skies, light northeasterly winds of 4–7 m/s, and radiative cooling overnight that should produce a minimum near 19–21 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those bins. These conditions sit close to or slightly above the long-term early-September climatological low of roughly 17–19 °C for Istanbul. Key variables that will differentiate the precise low include the exact dew-point depression, the strength of the urban heat-island effect, and any last-minute changes in cloud cover or wind mixing; a modest increase in boundary-layer moisture or a slight wind shift could easily shift the outcome by 1–2 °C. The next high-resolution model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service updates over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$392Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent GFS and ECMWF model consensus for September 1 points to clear skies, light northeasterly winds of 4–7 m/s, and radiative cooling overnight that should produce a minimum near 19–21 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those bins. These conditions sit close to or slightly above the long-term early-September climatological low of roughly 17–19 °C for Istanbul. Key variables that will differentiate the precise low include the exact dew-point depression, the strength of the urban heat-island effect, and any last-minute changes in cloud cover or wind mixing; a modest increase in boundary-layer moisture or a slight wind shift could easily shift the outcome by 1–2 °C. The next high-resolution model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service updates over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$392Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent GFS and ECMWF model consensus for September 1 points to clear skies, light northeasterly winds of 4–7 m/s, and radiative cooling overnight that should produce a minimum near 19–21 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those bins. These conditions sit close to or slightly above the long-term early-September climatological low of roughly 17–19 °C for Istanbul. Key variables that will differentiate the precise low include the exact dew-point depression, the strength of the urban heat-island effect, and any last-minute changes in cloud cover or wind mixing; a modest increase in boundary-layer moisture or a slight wind shift could easily shift the outcome by 1–2 °C. The next high-resolution model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service updates over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for traders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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