Recent northerly airflow and associated frontal activity have driven a notable cooldown in Istanbul, with official meteorological guidance indicating a daily minimum likely near 15–18°C on September 14 amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Model consensus from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles highlights modest radiational cooling potential overnight, tempered by residual moisture and variable cloud cover that limits extreme lows. Historical September baselines average around 17°C, yet the current setup features a sharper drop from prior days’ warmth, creating tight market-implied odds near 14–15°C. Updated forecast runs and surface observations through early morning will clarify whether clearer intervals allow further cooling or if persistent clouds hold temperatures higher.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 14?
14°C or below 62%
15°C 62%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
62%
15°C
62%
16°C
29%
17°C
33%
18°C
68%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
14°C or below 62%
15°C 62%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Обс.
62%
15°C
$0 Обс.
62%
16°C
$65 Обс.
29%
17°C
$5 Обс.
33%
18°C
$64 Обс.
68%
19°C
$557 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$221 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
24°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly airflow and associated frontal activity have driven a notable cooldown in Istanbul, with official meteorological guidance indicating a daily minimum likely near 15–18°C on September 14 amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Model consensus from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles highlights modest radiational cooling potential overnight, tempered by residual moisture and variable cloud cover that limits extreme lows. Historical September baselines average around 17°C, yet the current setup features a sharper drop from prior days’ warmth, creating tight market-implied odds near 14–15°C. Updated forecast runs and surface observations through early morning will clarify whether clearer intervals allow further cooling or if persistent clouds hold temperatures higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$913Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly airflow and associated frontal activity have driven a notable cooldown in Istanbul, with official meteorological guidance indicating a daily minimum likely near 15–18°C on September 14 amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Model consensus from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles highlights modest radiational cooling potential overnight, tempered by residual moisture and variable cloud cover that limits extreme lows. Historical September baselines average around 17°C, yet the current setup features a sharper drop from prior days’ warmth, creating tight market-implied odds near 14–15°C. Updated forecast runs and surface observations through early morning will clarify whether clearer intervals allow further cooling or if persistent clouds hold temperatures higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$913Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly airflow and associated frontal activity have driven a notable cooldown in Istanbul, with official meteorological guidance indicating a daily minimum likely near 15–18°C on September 14 amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Model consensus from sources such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global ensembles highlights modest radiational cooling potential overnight, tempered by residual moisture and variable cloud cover that limits extreme lows. Historical September baselines average around 17°C, yet the current setup features a sharper drop from prior days’ warmth, creating tight market-implied odds near 14–15°C. Updated forecast runs and surface observations through early morning will clarify whether clearer intervals allow further cooling or if persistent clouds hold temperatures higher.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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